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EFFECT ·Filed Jun 1, 2026

XLO

Xilio Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001811
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for prospectus supplements indicating actual takedowns under the shelf or ATM. Any announced offering of size >$5M would likely pressure XLO shares given the small market cap. Watch for accelerated shelf filings or overnight offerings.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
XLO ▲ +10.06% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -10.06% · α vs SPY -8.83% · entry $8.25 → $9.08
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.61%
call +0.61% · α +0.75%
$8.20
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-6.67%
call +6.67% · α +3.92%
$7.70
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+16.12%
call -16.12% · α -17.42%
$9.58
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+10.06%
call -10.06% · α -8.83%
$9.08
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Xilio Therapeutics' S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-295785) became effective on May 29, 2026, allowing the company to offer up to $250M in securities including a $17.22M ATM facility with Leerink Partners. This gives Xilio immediate access to equity capital markets, creating potential dilution overhang for existing shareholders.

Key Facts

  • Shelf registration effective May 29, 2026 under File No. 333-295785
  • Up to $250M in securities registered (common, preferred, debt, units, warrants)
  • Includes $17.22M ATM facility with Leerink Partners
  • Company has $56M market cap — potential dilution is significant relative to current equity value
  • Prior S-3/A (filed May 27) noted $72.5M net tangible book value as of March 31, 2026

Financial Impact

Up to $250M in securities can be sold; $17.22M ATM facility represents ~31% of current $56M market cap

dilutionshare countequity value

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution risk if company draws on ATM or conducts follow-on offering
  • Shelf overhang may cap upside until clarity on capital needs emerges
  • Biotech sector capital market conditions could influence timing and size of offerings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (5 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001811
Document: 9999999995-26-001811-index.html9999999995-26-001811
Document: 9999999995-26-001811.txt9999999995-26-001811
12 reports for XLO
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +19.92%May 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for XLO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
—awaiting T+5——
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.05 $9.41▲ +3.98%▲ +4.42%$8.30 (−8.29%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.05 $9.41▲ +3.98%▲ +4.42%$8.30 (−8.29%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.25 $7.70▲ +6.67%▲ +3.92%$8.30 (−0.61%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
S-3/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.52 $8.15▼ −4.40%▼ −4.35%$8.30 (−2.58%)
May 12, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.73 $8.15▲ +5.43%▲ +5.36%$8.30 (+7.37%)
May 12, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.73 $8.15▲ +5.43%▲ +5.36%$8.30 (+7.37%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$8.45 $8.18▼ −3.20%▼ −4.11%$8.30 (−1.78%)
Apr 16, 2026
27w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.57 $8.31▼ −3.03%▼ −3.59%$8.30 (−3.15%)
Apr 16, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.35 $8.47▲ +1.44%▲ +0.45%$8.30 (−0.60%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 6h 5m

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Report published Jun 1, 2026