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8-K ·Filed May 11, 2026

XGN

EXAGEN INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001274737-26-000027
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The Q1 beat on both revenue and EPS vs low expectations, combined with 12% revenue growth and improving adjusted EBITDA, supports a positive near-term bias. However, with cash burn continuing and guidance unchanged, the stock may need to see a path to profitability or a guidance raise to sustain momentum. Monitor the Q2 report for any acceleration in volume growth or margin expansion.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
XGN ▲ +67.09% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +67.09% · α vs SPY +62.69% · entry $3.98 → $6.65
Entry = T+0 close
May 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.78%
call -6.78% · α -6.65%
$3.71
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-12.31%
call -12.31% · α -12.23%
$3.49
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+8.29%
call +8.29% · α +8.60%
$4.31
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+67.09%
call +67.09% · α +62.69%
$6.65
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Exagen reported Q1 2026 revenue of $17.3M, a 12% YoY increase and above the $16.4M consensus, with GAAP EPS of -$0.17 beating the -$0.24 consensus estimate. The company maintained its full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $70M-$73M, and while still unprofitable, adjusted EBITDA loss improved 14% YoY to -$2.2M. The beat on both top and bottom lines against a low bar is positive, but continued losses and unchanged guidance keep the outlook measured.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.17
est −$0.24 · +29.2%
Revenue
$17.3M
est $16.4M · +5.5% · +11.7% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$70M-$73M
maintained
Gross Margin
59%

Key Facts

  • Record Q1 2026 revenue of $17.3M, up 12% YoY from $15.5M
  • GAAP EPS of -$0.17 beat consensus of -$0.24 by 29%
  • Revenue of $17.3M beat consensus of $16.4M by 5.5%
  • AVISE CTD test volume grew 10% YoY; trailing 12-month ASP rose 6% to $444
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss improved 14% YoY to -$2.2M
  • Full-year 2026 revenue guidance maintained at $70M-$73M (unchanged from prior guidance)
  • Cash and equivalents of $21.5M, down from $32.2M at year-end 2025

Financial Impact

Revenue beat of ~$0.9M vs consensus; EPS beat of $0.07/share

revenueepsadjusted ebitdacash

Risk Factors

  • Cash burn continues; cash fell from $32.2M to $21.5M in the quarter
  • Full-year guidance unchanged at $70M-$73M implies deceleration in H2 2026
  • Still deeply unprofitable with GAAP net loss of -$4.0M in Q1
  • Dependence on reimbursement and coverage decisions from Medicare and third-party payors

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Medical Laboratories
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001274737-26-000027
Exhibit: exdx-20260511.htm0001274737-26-000027
Document: 0001274737-26-000027-index-headers.html0001274737-26-000027
Document: 0001274737-26-000027-index.html0001274737-26-000027
Document: 0001274737-26-000027.txt0001274737-26-000027
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001274737-26-000027
10 reports for XGN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +67.09%May 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for XGN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$7.41awaiting T+20—$7.47 (+0.81%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.45 $7.12▲ +10.39%▲ +11.63%$7.47 (+15.81%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.98 $4.31▲ +8.29%▲ +8.60%$7.47 (+87.69%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.98 $4.31▲ +8.29%▲ +8.60%$7.47 (+87.69%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.70 $4.27▲ +58.15%▲ +54.12%$7.47 (+176.67%)
Mar 10, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$3.25 $3.08▼ −5.23%▼ −5.08%$7.47 (+129.85%)
Feb 24, 2026
35w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$3.69 $2.74▲ +25.75%▲ +20.76%$7.47 (−102.44%)
Feb 24, 2026
35w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$3.69 $2.74▲ +25.75%▲ +20.76%$7.47 (−102.44%)
Feb 24, 2026
35w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$3.69 $2.74▲ +25.75%▲ +20.76%$7.47 (−102.44%)
Feb 24, 2026
35w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.69 $2.74▲ +25.75%▲ +20.76%$7.47 (−102.44%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published May 11, 2026