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8-K ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

WCN

Waste Connections, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 23h ago SEC0001104659-26-117838
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The second upward revision to full-year guidance in 2026 signals accelerating operational momentum. Watch the Q4 earnings call for updates on acquisition pipeline and E&P waste activity, which management cites as potential incremental upside drivers.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
WCN ▲ +0.93% at T+1d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.93% · α vs SPY +1.45% · entry $184.88 → $186.60
Next anchor: T+5d in 17h
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.93%
call +0.93% · α +1.45%
$186.60
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 17h
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Waste Connections reported Q3 2026 results that beat consensus estimates on both revenue and adjusted EPS, driven by strong operational execution, improving landfill volumes, and commodity-driven revenue. The company raised its full-year 2026 outlook for revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the second time this year, increased its quarterly dividend by 10%, and completed over $1 billion in year-to-date share repurchases.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.58
est $1.38 · +14.5%
Revenue
$2.6B
est $2.5B · +4.7% · +7.3% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
~$10.09B
raised
Free Cash Flow
$1.1B

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 revenue of $2.638B, up 7.3% YoY from $2.458B
  • Adjusted net income per diluted share of $1.58, up 9.7% YoY from $1.44
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $895.8M, up 7.9% YoY from $830.3M; margin expanded 20bps to 34.0%
  • Raised full-year 2026 revenue outlook to ~$10.09B and adjusted EBITDA to ~$3.345B
  • Increased quarterly dividend by 10% to $0.385/share (sixteenth consecutive annual increase)
  • Year-to-date share repurchases of over $1 billion, representing 2.5% of outstanding shares
  • Year-to-date closed acquisitions of approximately $130M in annualized revenues

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by ~$118M (4.7%); adjusted EPS beat by $0.20 (14.5%)

revenueepsadjusted EBITDAfree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Late-quarter diesel price surge could pressure margins if sustained
  • Debt-to-book capitalization increased to 54% from 53% at Q1 2026
  • Solid waste unit volumes remained negative at -1.2% in Q3, though improving sequentially

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-117838
Document: wcn-20261021x8k.htm0001104659-26-117838
Document: 0001104659-26-117838-index-headers.html0001104659-26-117838
Document: 0001104659-26-117838-index.html0001104659-26-117838
Document: 0001104659-26-117838.txt0001104659-26-117838
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-117838
14 reports for WCN
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for WCN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$184.88 $186.60▲ +0.93%▲ +1.45%$182.24 (−1.43%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$168.28 $184.88▲ +9.86%▲ +11.05%$182.24 (+8.29%)
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$153.71 $153.67▼ −0.03%▼ −0.01%$182.24 (+18.56%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$168.97 $166.15▼ −1.67%▼ −1.99%$182.24 (+7.85%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$169.40 $168.97▼ −0.25%▲ +0.04%$182.24 (+7.58%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$167.81 $165.57▼ −1.33%▼ −3.14%$182.24 (+8.60%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$169.35 $169.22▼ −0.08%▼ −0.32%$182.24 (+7.61%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$159.03 $155.47▼ −2.24%▼ −3.94%$182.24 (+14.59%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$158.92 $157.37▼ −0.98%▼ −0.33%$182.24 (+14.67%)
May 12, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$156.61 $158.92▲ +1.48%▲ +1.54%$182.24 (+16.36%)
Showing 10 of 14

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Report published Oct 21, 2026