SecBot SecBot
EFFECT ·Filed Sep 11, 2026

VNRX

VOLITIONRX LTD
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed1mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002936
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effective shelf opens the door for immediate resale by Lind Global, creating a persistent overhang that will cap any upside. Monitor for a Form 424B prospectus supplement announcing the actual takedown — that will trigger the selling event. Given the $6M market cap and 53% potential dilution, any bounce should be sold into; the stock faces structural downward pressure until Lind fully exits or the company raises equity capital.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
VNRX ▼ -31.88% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +31.88% · α vs SPY +33.75% · entry $0.3102 → $0.2113
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+30 -14.66% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.61%
call -0.61% · α -1.06%
$0.3121
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-16.18%
call +16.18% · α +15.96%
$0.2600
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-31.88%
call +31.88% · α +33.75%
$0.2113
settled 18d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

VolitionRx's S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-298627) became effective on September 9, 2026, immediately enabling the resale of up to 10,006,360 common shares by Lind Global Asset Management XII LLC. These shares are issuable upon conversion/repayment of existing secured promissory notes, with the company receiving no proceeds — the registration solely facilitates dilution for a distressed debt holder at a $6M market cap, signaling severe financial strain and imminent overhang.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration (333-298627) declared effective on September 9, 2026.
  • Registration covers 10,006,360 common shares for resale by Lind Global Asset Management XII LLC.
  • Shares are issuable upon conversion/repayment of existing convertible secured promissory notes — company receives no proceeds.
  • Based on 18,727,948 shares outstanding as of August 27, 2026, the registered shares represent ~53% potential dilution.
  • Market cap is approximately $6M, indicating severe financial distress.
  • Prior S-3/A disclosed a market-cap covenant breach on May 8, 2026, triggering down-round price adjustments and principal increases.
  • The 2025 Lind Note and 2026 Lind Note have down-round anti-dilution provisions that were triggered by the company's June 2026 public offering at $1.55/share.
  • A 4.99% beneficial ownership blocker remains in place, capping Lind's actual holdings.
  • Cross-filing context shows two S-3/A amendments filed 2-3 days prior, updating the selling stockholder table.

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of ~53% of current shares outstanding (10,006,360 shares vs 18,727,948 outstanding) at a $6M market cap; company receives no proceeds from this resale registration.

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilutive overhang from 10M+ shares eligible for resale by distressed debt holder Lind Global.
  • Company receives no cash from this registration — it only facilitates existing debt conversion, worsening the equity base without new capital.
  • Down-round anti-dilution provisions in the notes could further increase conversion shares if the stock price declines.
  • Market cap of $6M makes the stock vulnerable to delisting and going-concern risk.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002936
Document: 9999999995-26-002936-index.html9999999995-26-002936
Document: 9999999995-26-002936.txt9999999995-26-002936
19 reports for VNRX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 12 best @ T+60▲ +83.65%Jul 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VNRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2529awaiting T+60—$0.1800 (+28.83%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2849awaiting T+60—$0.1800 (−36.82%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.2749awaiting T+60—$0.1800 (+34.52%)
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3102awaiting T+60—$0.1800 (+41.97%)
Sep 8, 2026
6w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3400awaiting T+60—$0.1800 (+47.06%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3800awaiting T+60—$0.1800 (+52.63%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3846awaiting T+60—$0.1800 (+53.20%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7700awaiting T+60—$0.1800 (+76.62%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.13 $0.1847▲ +83.65%▲ +88.50%$0.1800 (+84.07%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.34awaiting T+60—$0.1800 (+86.57%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (10h 16m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Sep 11, 2026