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6-K ·Filed Jul 17, 2026

VIST

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001193125-26-306731
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Vista's Q2 results show a powerful combination of organic production growth, accretive M&A, and strong commodity pricing. The company's guidance for 100-110 well tie-ins and its sensitivity commentary (every $10/bbl change in 2H-26 impacts Adj. EBITDA by ~$200MM) provide clear catalysts. Traders should watch for any updates on the company's capital allocation strategy, particularly regarding further M&A or shareholder returns, given the strong FCF generation.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
VIST ▲ +8.43% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +8.43% · α vs SPY +3.75% · entry $64.02 → $69.42
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 17, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.17%
call -0.17% · α -0.01%
$63.91
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+7.87%
call +7.87% · α +8.56%
$69.06
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+6.70%
call +6.70% · α +2.25%
$68.31
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+8.43%
call +8.43% · α +3.75%
$69.42
settled 14d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Vista Energy reported exceptionally strong Q2 2026 results, with revenue surging 89% YoY to $1,154MM and Adjusted EBITDA nearly doubling to $805MM, driven by a 33% increase in oil production and higher realized oil prices. The company generated $491MM in free cash flow excluding M&A and maintained a pro forma net leverage ratio of 1.25x. The filing also confirms the consolidation of recently acquired assets (Bandurria Sur and Bajo del Toro) and that the company is on track to deliver full-year 2026 guidance across all key metrics.

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 revenue of $1,154MM, up 89% YoY and 66% QoQ.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $805MM, up 99% YoY and 79% QoQ.
  • Oil production of 135 Mbbl/d, up 33% YoY and 16% QoQ.
  • Net income of $322MM and EPS of $3.0.
  • Free cash flow of $99MM; $491MM excluding M&A payments.
  • Pro forma net leverage ratio of 1.25x; actual net leverage ratio of 1.41x.
  • Lifting cost of $4.5/boe, down 4% YoY.
  • Connected 27 wells during the quarter, on track for annual guidance of 100-110 tie-ins.
  • Consolidated 25.1% WI in Bandurria Sur and 35% WI in Bajo del Toro as of May 1, 2026.

Financial Impact

Revenue increased by $1,154MM in Q2 2026, up 89% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $805MM, up 99% YoY. Net income was $322MM.

revenueebitdanet incomeepsproductionfree cash flownet leverage

Risk Factors

  • Exposure to volatile oil and natural gas prices, particularly Brent crude.
  • Operational and political risks associated with its primary operations in Argentina.
  • Execution risk related to integrating recent acquisitions (Bandurria Sur, Bajo del Toro) and achieving planned production growth.
  • Potential for increased leverage or dilution if further large acquisitions are pursued.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (VIST) — Batch item 10001193125-26-306731
Document: d101768d6k.htm0001193125-26-306731
Document: 0001193125-26-306731-index-headers.html0001193125-26-306731
Document: 0001193125-26-306731-index.html0001193125-26-306731
Document: 0001193125-26-306731.txt0001193125-26-306731
6-K Filing (VIST) — Batch item 60001193125-26-306731
22 reports for VIST
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +8.43%Jul 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VIST — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$70.66awaiting T+5—$72.98 (+3.28%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$68.30 $64.63▼ −5.37%▼ −4.96%$72.98 (+6.85%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$70.25 $65.35▲ +6.98%▲ +6.30%$72.98 (−3.89%)
Sep 8, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$75.86 $76.41▲ +0.72%▲ +1.39%$72.98 (−3.80%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$72.16 $70.66▼ −2.08%▼ −0.89%$72.98 (+1.14%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$68.31 $69.58▲ +1.86%▲ +3.23%$72.98 (+6.84%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$66.01 $68.42▲ +3.65%▲ +4.09%$72.98 (+10.56%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$68.36 $69.74▲ +2.02%▲ +2.42%$72.98 (+6.76%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$68.36 $72.16▲ +5.56%▲ +5.61%$72.98 (+6.76%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$65.96 $68.31▲ +3.56%▲ +3.16%$72.98 (+10.64%)
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Jul 17, 2026