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424B5 ·Filed Oct 1, 2026

VHC

VirnetX Holding Corp
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed26d 7h ago SEC0001140361-26-038168
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor the pace of ATM sales via daily volume and subsequent 10-Q filings for share count increases. The ATM allows VirnetX to sell shares opportunistically, so actual dilution depends on market conditions. Watch for any revenue-generating contract wins or partnership announcements that could offset the dilution narrative.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
VHC ▲ +31.13% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -31.13% · α vs SPY -29.83% · entry $9.38 → $12.30
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 -17.43% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+11.73%
call -11.73% · α -10.99%
$10.48
settled 25d ago
T+5d
+31.13%
call -31.13% · α -29.83%
$12.30
settled 19d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

VirnetX filed a final prospectus supplement for an at-the-market (ATM) equity offering of up to $19.1 million in common stock, representing ~33% of its public float. The company reported zero revenue and a $4.35M net loss in Q1 2026, with cash burn reducing its runway. This capital raise is a necessity amid ongoing losses and no revenue stream, posing significant dilution risk to existing shareholders.

Key Facts

  • ATM offering of up to $19,135,717 in common stock via Titan Partners Securities LLC
  • Offering represents ~33% of the $57.4M public float (3,585,706 non-affiliate shares)
  • Net proceeds estimated at ~$18.2M if fully sold, after 3% agent commission and ~$347K expenses
  • Stock closed at $10.32 on Sept 29, 2026; assumed offering price for dilution calculation
  • Dilution per new share: $4.84 (assumed price $10.32 vs. post-offering book value $5.48)
  • Net tangible book value as of June 30, 2026: $15.1M, or $3.57 per share
  • No revenue reported; Q1 2026 net loss of $4.35M per prior S-3 analysis
  • Cash runway under one year per prior S-3 analysis; no dividend expected

Financial Impact

Up to $19.1M gross proceeds; ~$18.2M net after costs. Dilution of ~44% to existing shares if fully sold at $10.32 (1.85M new shares vs. 4.20M outstanding).

dilutioncash runwayshare count

Risk Factors

  • Substantial dilution to existing shareholders (up to ~44% share increase)
  • No current revenue stream; continued cash burn may require further capital raises
  • ATM sales could depress stock price due to continuous selling pressure
  • Management has broad discretion over use of proceeds; no specific acquisition targets

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-038168
Document: ny20082832x1_ex107.htm0001140361-26-038168
Document: 0001140361-26-038168-index-headers.html0001140361-26-038168
Document: 0001140361-26-038168-index.html0001140361-26-038168
Document: 0001140361-26-038168.txt0001140361-26-038168
6 reports for VHC
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+5 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +17.49%Jun 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VHC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$9.38 $12.30▼ −31.13%▼ −29.83%$11.32 (−20.74%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.38 $12.30▼ −31.13%▼ −29.83%$11.32 (−20.74%)
Jun 16, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.49 $11.98▼ −4.08%▼ −3.04%$11.32 (−9.33%)
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$15.15 $12.79▲ +15.58%▲ +11.76%$11.32 (+25.25%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.73 $13.77▼ −0.29%▲ +1.33%$11.32 (+17.52%)
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.44 $12.86▼ −10.94%▼ −11.34%$11.32 (−21.57%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 1m

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Report published Oct 1, 2026