SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Oct 7, 2026

VG

Venture Global, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed19d 14h ago SEC0002007855-26-000069
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The $6.79/MMBtu implied fee is below the Q2 2026 implied range of $12.50-$13.50/MMBtu used for guidance, but the filing notes this excludes gas supply basis — wait for full Q3 earnings to assess margin trajectory and any guidance revision.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
VG ▲ +1.69% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +1.69% · α vs SPY +2.67% · entry $13.05 → $13.27
Next anchor: T+20d in 8d
Latest observation: T+12 +12.36% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.84%
call +1.84% · α +2.26%
$13.29
settled 19d ago
T+5d
+1.69%
call +1.69% · α +2.67%
$13.27
settled 13d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 8d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Venture Global disclosed preliminary Q3 2026 operating metrics: 465.8 TBtu of LNG sold at an implied weighted average fixed liquefaction fee of $6.79/MMBtu, with 124 cargos exported. This is a pre-earnings operational update — no full financial results or guidance changes are provided. The implied fee of $6.79/MMBtu is a key revenue driver, but the filing explicitly warns these metrics alone are not reliable indicators of quarterly financial results.

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 LNG sold and recognized in revenue: 465.8 TBtu
  • Implied weighted average fixed liquefaction fee: $6.79/MMBtu
  • Total cargos exported: 124 (37 from Calcasieu Pass, 87 from Plaquemines)
  • 5 DES cargos (20.4 TBtu) exported in Q3 but revenue recognition deferred to Q4
  • Full Q3 financial results (net income, cash flow) to be announced later in earnings report

Financial Impact

Revenue from recognized LNG sales at $6.79/MMBtu on 465.8 TBtu implies ~$3.16B in recognized LNG revenue for Q3, but this excludes gas supply basis and deferred DES cargos; full financials pending

revenueliquefaction feecargo volumes

Risk Factors

  • Implied liquefaction fee of $6.79/MMBtu is significantly below the $12.50-$13.50 range assumed in 2026 guidance, though the fee excludes gas supply basis
  • 5 DES cargos (20.4 TBtu) revenue deferred to Q4 creates a timing mismatch between cash generation and reported revenue
  • Plaquemines Phase 1 COD target of Q4 2026 remains a binary catalyst risk

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0002007855-26-000069
Document: 0002007855-26-000069-index-headers.html0002007855-26-000069
Document: 0002007855-26-000069-index.html0002007855-26-000069
Document: 0002007855-26-000069.txt0002007855-26-000069
8-K Data (Synthetic)0002007855-26-000069
30 reports for VG
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +15.66%Aug 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$12.85awaiting T+5—$14.00 (−8.95%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.61awaiting T+5—$14.00 (+11.02%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.50 $12.81▲ +2.48%▲ +3.49%$14.00 (+12.00%)
Oct 12, 2026
14d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$13.13 $12.81▼ −2.44%▼ −0.94%$14.00 (+6.63%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.29 $12.50▲ +5.94%▲ +5.67%$14.00 (−5.34%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.05 $13.27▲ +1.69%▲ +2.67%$14.00 (+7.28%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$12.91 $12.54▲ +2.87%▲ +1.68%$14.00 (−8.44%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$14.02 $12.62▲ +9.99%▲ +11.25%$14.00 (+0.14%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$15.29 $12.91▼ −15.57%▼ −17.69%$14.00 (−8.44%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$14.21 $14.18▼ −0.21%▼ −0.69%$14.00 (−1.48%)
Showing 10 of 30

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 43m)

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Report published Oct 7, 2026