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EFFECT ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

VBIO

Valion Bio, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5d 19h ago SEC9999999995-26-003309
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effectiveness of this shelf registration opens the door for immediate resale by 3i, LP. Given the micro-cap size ($2M market cap), even partial selling could pressure the stock. Monitor for any Form 4 filings or prospectus supplements indicating actual sales. The overhang is likely to cap upside until the selling stockholder's position is substantially reduced or absorbed.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
VBIO ▼ -14.64% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +14.64% · α vs SPY +13.46% · entry $1.12 → $0.9560
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+2 +6.25% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-14.64%
call +14.64% · α +13.46%
$0.9560
settled 4d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 23d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared Valion Bio's S-3 shelf registration statement (File No. 333-299506) effective on October 20, 2026. This allows the selling stockholder (3i, LP) to resell up to 3,954,381 shares of common stock, including shares issuable upon conversion of Series B and Series C preferred stock and exercise of warrants. The effectiveness creates a near-term overhang of potential dilution for a micro-cap company with a $2M market cap.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration declared effective on October 20, 2026.
  • Registration covers up to 3,954,381 shares of common stock held by selling stockholder 3i, LP.
  • Shares include conversion of Series B and Series C preferred stock and exercise of warrants.
  • Valion Bio has a market cap of approximately $2M, making the potential dilution significant relative to current float.
  • The company was formerly known as Tivic Health Systems, Inc.

Financial Impact

Up to 3,954,381 shares of common stock may be resold, representing potentially massive dilution relative to a $2M market cap company. Exact dilution percentage cannot be calculated without current share count.

dilutionshare price

Risk Factors

  • Immediate selling pressure from the registered resale of up to 3.95M shares.
  • Potential for significant dilution relative to current market cap.
  • Limited liquidity in a micro-cap stock could amplify price impact of any sales.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-003309
Document: 9999999995-26-003309-index.html9999999995-26-003309
Document: 9999999995-26-003309.txt9999999995-26-003309
19 reports for VBIO
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +83.75%Jun 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VBIO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.15awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (−26.70%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.9560awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (−12.13%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.12awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (+25.00%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.12awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (+25.00%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.16awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (+27.59%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.16awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (+27.59%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.23awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (−31.71%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.45awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (−42.07%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.21awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (+61.99%)
Oct 7, 2026
18d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.21awaiting T+20—$0.8400 (+61.99%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Oct 21, 2026