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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 13, 2026

VBIO

Valion Bio, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002641
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The effective S-1 enables Tumim Stone Capital to resell shares, creating a persistent overhang. Monitor for any subsequent stock sales by Tumim, which could pressure the stock. The company's transition to biopharma and Entolimod pipeline are the key catalysts to watch, but the equity line structure suggests ongoing dilution risk.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
VBIO ▼ -47.07% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -47.07% · α vs SPY -45.33% · entry $0.1708 → $0.0904
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+50 -30.16% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+11.59%
call +11.59% · α +11.79%
$0.1906
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-28.51%
call -28.51% · α -26.55%
$0.1221
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-47.07%
call -47.07% · α -45.33%
$0.0904
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 10d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Valion Bio's S-1 registration statement (File No. 333-297529) became effective on August 12, 2026, under the 1933 Act. This effectiveness allows the company to sell shares under its equity line agreement with Tumim Stone Capital, covering 956,222 shares for resale. The company is transitioning from consumer healthtech to a biopharma focus on Entolimod, a late-stage TLR5 agonist for acute radiation syndrome and oncology, but this filing does not represent new capital for the company — it enables the investor to resell shares.

Key Facts

  • S-1 registration (File No. 333-297529) declared effective on August 12, 2026.
  • Registration covers 956,222 shares for resale by Tumim Stone Capital under a $50 million equity line agreement.
  • Valion Bio (formerly Tivic Health Systems) is transitioning from consumer healthtech to biopharma, focusing on Entolimod (TLR5 agonist).
  • Company will not receive proceeds from this resale registration; proceeds come from future stock sales to Tumim.
  • Market cap is approximately $1M, making this a micro-cap biotech with high dilution risk.

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of up to 956,222 shares from the equity line, but no new capital raised for the company from this registration. The $50M equity line represents a significant overhang relative to the $1M market cap.

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Dilution from equity line sales by Tumim Stone Capital
  • Micro-cap status ($1M market cap) with limited liquidity and high volatility
  • Transition risk from consumer healthtech to biopharma with unproven pipeline
  • Potential for further capital raises given the $50M equity line structure

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002641
Document: 9999999995-26-002641-index.html9999999995-26-002641
Document: 9999999995-26-002641.txt9999999995-26-002641
20 reports for VBIO
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +83.75%Jun 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VBIO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.8950awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (+9.50%)
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.15awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (−29.31%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.9560awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (−15.27%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.12awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (+27.68%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.12awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (+27.68%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.16awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (+30.17%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.16awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (+30.17%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.23awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (−34.15%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.45awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (−44.14%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.21awaiting T+20—$0.8100 (+63.35%)
Showing 10 of 20

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Report published Aug 13, 2026