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DEFA14A ·Filed Apr 20, 2026

USAR

USA Rare Earth, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 9/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago SEC0001213900-26-045342
Proxy solicitation materials
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Traders should monitor the shareholder vote outcome and SEC proxy statement filing, as approval would create a dominant Western rare earth platform with government-backed offtake and pricing support, potentially commanding a premium valuation. The integration of Serra Verde's HREE production with USAR's magnet capabilities de-risks supply for critical defense and energy technologies.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
USAR ▼ -23.34% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -23.34% · α vs SPY -30.12% · entry $22.58 → $17.31
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.20%
call +1.20% · α +1.85%
$22.85
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+4.12%
call +4.12% · α +3.21%
$23.51
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-5.78%
call -5.78% · α -9.98%
$21.28
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-23.34%
call -23.34% · α -30.12%
$17.31
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

USA Rare Earth (USAR) is soliciting shareholder approval for its acquisition of Serra Verde Group, a strategic move to create the only fully integrated rare earth platform outside China. The deal combines Serra Verde's scaled production of critical heavy rare earths with USAR's downstream magnet capabilities, underpinned by a 15-year offtake agreement with U.S. government-backed entities and price floors.

Key Financial Metrics

Vote
merger approval
Meeting
2026-07-15

Key Facts

  • Shareholder vote on issuance of 126.8 million USAR shares as part of the $300M cash and stock acquisition of Serra Verde
  • Serra Verde is the only scaled non-Asian producer of all four magnetic rare earths, including critical heavy rare earths (Dy, Tb)
  • Transaction includes a 15-year offtake agreement with a U.S. government-backed SPV, featuring price floors for Nd, Pr, Dy, and Tb
  • Combined company expected to generate ~$1.8B EBITDA by 2030, with Serra Verde contributing $550-$650M annualized EBITDA by end-2027
  • Pro-forma liquidity expected to be ~$3.2B, supported by U.S. Department of Commerce and DFC commitments

Financial Impact

Acquisition valued at ~$2.8B based on $19.95 share price; Serra Verde expected to contribute $550-$650M annualized EBITDA by end-2027, with combined company projected at ~$1.8B EBITDA by 2030

revenueebitdadilutionliquidity

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain USAR shareholder approval for the issuance of shares could trigger a $25M-$75M termination fee
  • Forward-looking EBITDA and production estimates are subject to risks including integration challenges, regulatory approvals, and commodity price volatility

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Metal Mining

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFA14A Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-045342
Document: ea028691001ex99-1.htm0001213900-26-045342
Document: ea028691001ex99-3.htm0001213900-26-045342
Document: ea028691001ex99-2.htm0001213900-26-045342
Document: 0001213900-26-045342-index-headers.html0001213900-26-045342
Document: 0001213900-26-045342-index.html0001213900-26-045342
Document: 0001213900-26-045342.txt0001213900-26-045342
45 reports for USAR
Performance horizon
48% Hit rate @ T+5 12 of 25 directional calls Went positive at some point 20 of 25 best @ T+20▲ +71.05%Apr 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for USAR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.80 $12.63▼ −8.48%▼ −9.78%$8.91 (−35.43%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.80 $12.63▼ −8.48%▼ −9.78%$8.91 (−35.43%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$15.10 $16.78▼ −11.13%▼ −8.29%$8.91 (+40.99%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$15.10 $16.78▼ −11.13%▼ −8.29%$8.91 (+40.99%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$17.66 $15.40▲ +12.80%▲ +11.68%$8.91 (+49.55%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$17.66 $15.40▲ +12.80%▲ +11.68%$8.91 (+49.55%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$17.61 $15.71▼ −10.79%▼ −9.58%$8.91 (−49.40%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.29 $17.82▼ −2.57%▼ −3.04%$8.91 (−51.28%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.29 $17.82▼ −2.57%▼ −3.04%$8.91 (−51.28%)
Aug 9, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$19.04 $19.29▲ +1.31%▲ +1.36%$8.91 (−53.20%)
Showing 10 of 45

US Market Status

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Report published Apr 20, 2026