SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Apr 20, 2026

USAR

USA Rare Earth, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 9/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago SEC0001213900-26-045706
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor for successful integration of Serra Verde's operations and retention of key personnel, as the recent executive departures could impact the realization of projected EBITDA contributions. Watch for updates on the 15-year offtake agreement and price floors.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
USAR ▼ -30.37% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -30.37% · α vs SPY -37.27% · entry $22.85 → $15.91
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+11.20%
call +11.20% · α +10.19%
$25.41
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-0.35%
call -0.35% · α -1.43%
$22.77
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-6.89%
call -6.89% · α -11.81%
$21.28
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-30.37%
call -30.37% · α -37.27%
$15.91
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

USA Rare Earth (USAR) is acquiring Serra Verde Group for $300 million in cash and 126.8 million shares of USAR stock, creating the only fully integrated rare earth platform outside China. The deal includes a 15-year offtake agreement and is expected to contribute $550-$650 million in annualized EBITDA by end-2027. This follows the unexpected departure of key executives, which raises concerns about integration and execution risk.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$300.0M
Deal Type
acquisition

Key Facts

  • USAR is acquiring Serra Verde Group for $300 million in cash and 126.8 million shares of USAR stock
  • The deal creates the only fully integrated rare earth platform outside China
  • Serra Verde is expected to contribute $550-$650 million in annualized EBITDA by end-2027
  • The acquisition includes a 15-year offtake agreement with price floors
  • This filing follows an unexpected departure of key executives at Serra Verde

Financial Impact

The acquisition is valued at $300 million in cash and 126.8 million shares of USAR stock, with Serra Verde expected to contribute $550-$650 million in annualized EBITDA by end-2027.

revenueepsdebtdilution

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk following unexpected executive departures
  • Potential delays in realizing projected EBITDA contributions
  • Execution risk related to the 15-year offtake agreement

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Metal Mining

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-045706
Document: ea028694001ex10-2.htm0001213900-26-045706
Document: ea0286940-8k_usarare.htm0001213900-26-045706
Document: ea028694001ex10-1.htm0001213900-26-045706
Document: 0001213900-26-045706-index-headers.html0001213900-26-045706
Document: 0001213900-26-045706-index.html0001213900-26-045706
Document: 0001213900-26-045706.txt0001213900-26-045706
46 reports for USAR
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 13 of 26 directional calls Went positive at some point 21 of 26 best @ T+20▲ +71.05%Apr 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for USAR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.40awaiting T+5—$8.91 (−14.33%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.80 $12.63▼ −8.48%▼ −9.78%$8.91 (−35.43%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.80 $12.63▼ −8.48%▼ −9.78%$8.91 (−35.43%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$15.10 $16.78▼ −11.13%▼ −8.29%$8.91 (+40.99%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$15.10 $16.78▼ −11.13%▼ −8.29%$8.91 (+40.99%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$17.66 $15.40▲ +12.80%▲ +11.68%$8.91 (+49.55%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$17.66 $15.40▲ +12.80%▲ +11.68%$8.91 (+49.55%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$17.61 $15.71▼ −10.79%▼ −9.58%$8.91 (−49.40%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.29 $17.82▼ −2.57%▼ −3.04%$8.91 (−51.28%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.29 $17.82▼ −2.57%▼ −3.04%$8.91 (−51.28%)
Showing 10 of 46

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (12h 55m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Apr 20, 2026