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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

UPWK

Upwork Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor Q3 revenue trajectory closely; the guidance midpoint of $180M implies a 6% sequential decline from Q2, and the GAAP earnings miss raises questions about profitability sustainability. The aggressive buyback may provide a floor but does not address top-line erosion. Watch for further client attrition and the impact of AI-driven automation on lower-complexity work categories.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
UPWK ▼ -1.44% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +1.44% · α vs SPY +0.38% · entry $8.36 → $8.24
Next anchor: T+60d in 7d
Latest observation: T+52 +1.74% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 10, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.48%
call -0.48% · α -0.23%
$8.40
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+1.55%
call -1.55% · α -1.96%
$8.49
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-1.44%
call +1.44% · α +0.38%
$8.24
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Upwork reported Q2 2026 revenue of $191.7M (down 2% YoY, in line with consensus) and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.20 (down 41% from consensus of $0.34, a strong miss). Active clients fell 4% YoY to 763K and GSV declined 4%, while adjusted EBITDA grew 12% to $64.1M. Guidance for Q3 revenue of $176M-$184M implies a sequential decline, reinforcing top-line headwinds from automation shifting lower-complexity work.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.20
est $0.34 · -41.2%
Revenue
$191.7M
est $190.0M · +0.9% · -1.7% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$176M-$184M
lowered
Free Cash Flow
$35.9M
Gross Margin
76.4%

Key Facts

  • Revenue declined 2% YoY to $191.7M, in line with $190.0M consensus
  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.20 missed consensus of $0.34 by 41%
  • Active clients fell 4% YoY to 763,000; GSV declined 4% to $966.4M
  • Q3 2026 revenue guidance of $176M-$184M implies ~6% sequential decline from Q2
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 12% YoY to $64.1M (33% margin, up 415 bps)
  • Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.41 beat consensus of $0.34 by 20.6%
  • Free cash flow fell 45% YoY to $35.9M; operating cash flow down 35%
  • Share repurchases totaled $109.7M in H1 2026; $254.3M remaining authorization

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of ~$3.2M YoY and GAAP EPS miss of $0.14 per share; Q3 guidance midpoint $180M vs Q2 actual $191.7M

revenueepsactive clientsgsvfree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Continued revenue decline as lower-complexity work shifts to automation
  • Active client base shrinking 4% YoY, reducing future GSV growth potential
  • GAAP profitability deteriorating (net income down 22% YoY) despite non-GAAP improvements
  • Guidance implies H2 revenue below H1 run rate, signaling persistent headwinds

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
Analyst Consensus
47% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3342306
12 reports for UPWK
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +8.39%May 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UPWK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.18 $8.75▼ −6.97%▼ −6.28%$9.51 (−16.26%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.61 $8.37▲ +2.79%▲ +3.80%$9.51 (−10.45%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.36 $8.24▲ +1.44%▲ +0.38%$9.51 (−13.76%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.06 $8.49▼ −6.35%▼ −10.79%$9.51 (+4.97%)
Jun 23, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.22 $8.96▲ +9.00%▲ +7.07%$9.51 (+15.69%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$8.82 $8.87▲ +0.57%▼ −0.88%$9.51 (+7.82%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.76 $8.86▲ +1.14%▼ −0.72%$9.51 (+8.56%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.44 $7.86▼ −6.93%▼ −7.26%$9.51 (+12.68%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.82 $8.76▲ +0.68%▲ +0.70%$9.51 (−7.82%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.48 $8.66▼ −17.37%▼ −22.00%$9.51 (−9.26%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Aug 10, 2026