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Institutional Cluster

ULCC

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed8mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The absence of institutional selling and strong passive buying suggests underlying demand strength. Traders should monitor for follow-on active manager participation and potential float squeeze dynamics given ULCC's relatively small $1B market cap.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ULCC ▲ +31.44% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +31.44% · α vs SPY +22.11% · entry $4.04 → $5.31
Entry = T+0 close
Feb 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.48%
call -2.48% · α -1.56%
$3.94
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
-6.44%
call -6.44% · α -5.23%
$3.78
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
-15.59%
call -15.59% · α -7.66%
$3.41
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+31.44%
call +31.44% · α +22.11%
$5.31
settled 5mo ago

Executive Summary

Three major passive institutional investors — Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, and UBS — significantly increased their positions in Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) during Q4 2024, collectively adding $6.7 million in new exposure with no institutional selling observed. This coordinated accumulation suggests growing institutional confidence in ULCC's valuation or outlook despite its small market cap of $1.0B.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$6.7M
Net Flow
$6.7M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $6.7M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyDOUBLED+150%$6.1M$4.3M
Wells FargoDOUBLED+223.1%$298.0K$229.0K
UBSADD+65.2%$4.1M$2.2M

Key Facts

  • Morgan Stanley doubled its stake, increasing value by $4.3M (from $1.8M to $6.1M)
  • Wells Fargo increased its position by 223.1%, adding $229K in value
  • UBS added $2.2M in new value, growing its holding by 65.2%
  • No institutional selling detected in the quarter
  • Total net buying: $6.7M across three mega-passive institutions

Financial Impact

3 institutions accumulated $6.7M in net new positions, increasing total passive ownership value by $6.7M with no offsetting sales

float ownershipinstitutional ownershipmarket sentiment

Risk Factors

  • Buyers are all passive mega-funds, which may indicate index-driven flows rather than fundamental conviction
  • Lack of active manager participation limits signal strength; passive buying may reverse on index rebalance

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ULCC-2024-Q4
11 reports for ULCC
Performance horizon
0% Hit rate @ T+60 0 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +22.38%Jul 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ULCC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$4.61awaiting T+60——
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$7.38awaiting T+60——
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.96awaiting T+60——
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.50 $5.30▼ −18.46%▼ −23.19%—
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.21 $5.58▼ −10.14%▼ −14.99%—
Jul 7, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.16 $5.97▼ −16.62%▼ −19.11%—
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.73 $5.85▼ −24.32%▼ −27.19%—
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.54 $5.74▲ +3.70%▼ −2.88%—
May 5, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.37 $6.98▼ −59.73%▼ −56.99%—
Feb 28, 2026
34w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.04 $5.31▲ +31.44%▲ +22.11%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 3h 10m

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Report published Feb 28, 2026