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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 13, 2026

UCAR

U Power Ltd
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002648
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for any takedown notice or prospectus supplement under the shelf. Given the prior F-1's dilutive structure and the company's small cap, any shelf draw would likely pressure the stock. The cross-filing amplifier verdict suggests this combo has historically been more impactful than standalone shelf effectiveness.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
UCAR ▼ -68.54% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +68.54% · α vs SPY +66.79% · entry $0.7898 → $0.2485
Next anchor: T+60d in 9d
Latest observation: T+48 +63.79% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-16.38%
call +16.38% · α +16.19%
$0.6604
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-18.60%
call +18.60% · α +16.64%
$0.6429
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-68.54%
call +68.54% · α +66.79%
$0.2485
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 9d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

U Power Ltd's F-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-297930) was declared effective by the SEC on August 12, 2026. This allows the company to sell securities from its shelf at any time, creating a persistent dilution overhang. The effectiveness follows a prior F-1 filing for a highly dilutive unit offering, and the company's small $27M market cap makes any future shelf takedown materially impactful.

Key Facts

  • F-3 shelf registration (333-297930) effective August 12, 2026
  • Company has a $27M market cap, making any shelf draw highly dilutive
  • Prior F-1 filing (March 2026) proposed 4.58M units with aggressive warrant terms
  • Cross-filing context shows the shelf effectiveness is an amplifier of the prior dilutive offering risk

Financial Impact

Potential dilution from shelf takedown could be material relative to $27M market cap; prior F-1 proposed up to 21M additional shares via warrant exercise

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution risk if company draws on the shelf
  • Prior F-1 warrants could add up to 21M shares with zero cash exercise feature
  • Nasdaq delisting risk from dilutive offerings
  • Company history of substantial losses and China operational risks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002648
Document: 9999999995-26-002648-index.html9999999995-26-002648
Document: 9999999995-26-002648.txt9999999995-26-002648
8 reports for UCAR
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +80.00%Mar 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UCAR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7898 $0.2485▲ +68.54%▲ +66.79%$2.96 (−274.78%)
Jun 9, 2026
20w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.30 $1.14▼ −12.31%▼ −13.75%$2.96 (+127.69%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.35 $1.17▲ +13.33%▲ +14.96%$2.96 (−119.26%)
Apr 28, 2026
26w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$1.80 $1.50▼ −16.67%▼ −22.13%$2.96 (+64.44%)
Apr 7, 2026
29w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$2.38 $1.56▼ −34.45%▼ −43.00%$2.96 (+24.37%)
Mar 20, 2026
31w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.63 $1.50▲ +7.98%▲ +17.29%$2.96 (−81.60%)
Mar 19, 2026
31w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.57 $1.49▼ −5.10%▼ −12.72%$2.96 (+88.54%)
Mar 9, 2026
33w ago
F-1
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$7.10 $2.38▲ +66.48%▲ +66.32%$2.96 (+58.31%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 13, 2026