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8-K ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

TXNM

TXNM ENERGY INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed26d 1h ago SEC0001108426-26-000061
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor the conversion rate during Q4 2026 to gauge dilution; if the stock trades above $44.32, holders may convert, creating modest share issuance. The pending Blackstone merger at $61.25/share provides a floor for noteholders considering conversion timing.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
TXNM ▲ +0.09% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +0.09% · α vs SPY -1.22% · entry $58.11 → $58.16
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 -1.25% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.20%
call -0.20% · α -0.94%
$57.99
settled 25d ago
T+5d
+0.09%
call +0.09% · α -1.22%
$58.16
settled 19d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TXNM Energy notified holders of its 5.75% Convertible Notes due 2054 that they may convert during Q4 2026 because the stock price triggered the conversion threshold. Upon conversion, the company will deliver non-convertible notes for the principal amount and common stock for any excess value above par. The filing also notes that if the pending Blackstone merger closes, noteholders would receive cash for their conversion obligation.

Key Facts

  • Convertible notes (5.75% due 2054) are convertible at option of holders from Oct 1 to Dec 31, 2026
  • Conversion rate: 22.5654 shares per $1,000 principal, equivalent to ~$44.32 per share
  • Trigger: stock price exceeded 130% of conversion price for 20 of 30 trading days ending Sep 30, 2026
  • Upon conversion, TXNM delivers non-convertible 5.75% notes for the principal amount plus shares for any excess
  • Holders receive less liquid securities than typical convertible conversion (no cash for principal portion)
  • Pending merger with Blackstone affiliates at $61.25/share would trigger make-whole fundamental change conversion rights
  • Merger consummation is subject to regulatory approvals including New Mexico Public Regulation Commission

Financial Impact

No principal amount or number of notes outstanding disclosed; conversion mechanics are administrative and do not change total debt outstanding

dilutiondebt

Risk Factors

  • Conversion could lead to share dilution if holders convert and stock price exceeds conversion price
  • New non-convertible notes may trade at a discount to par given lower coupon vs. recent 7% issuance
  • Merger uncertainty: regulatory approval from New Mexico Public Regulation Commission is pending

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001108426-26-000061
Document: 0001108426-26-000061-index-headers.html0001108426-26-000061
Document: 0001108426-26-000061-index.html0001108426-26-000061
Document: 0001108426-26-000061.txt0001108426-26-000061
9 reports for TXNM
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TXNM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$58.57awaiting T+60—$58.40 (−0.29%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$58.11awaiting T+60—$58.40 (+0.50%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$58.32awaiting T+60—$58.40 (+0.14%)
Aug 31, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$57.85awaiting T+60—$58.40 (+0.95%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$57.85awaiting T+60—$58.40 (+0.95%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$57.92 $58.40▲ +0.83%▼ −1.63%$58.40 (+0.83%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$57.80 $58.53▲ +1.26%▼ −3.58%$58.40 (+1.04%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$56.64 $58.50▼ −3.28%▼ −1.38%$58.40 (−3.11%)
Feb 27, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$58.60 $59.45▼ −1.46%▲ +7.93%$58.40 (+0.34%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Sep 30, 2026