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8-K ·Filed Aug 20, 2026

TWIN

TWIN DISC INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001437749-26-028596
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive EPS beat and strong free cash flow generation are clear positives, but the 600bps gross margin compression and tariff headwinds warrant monitoring. With a healthy backlog and a new $90M credit facility providing financial flexibility, the company is well-positioned for FY2027. Traders should watch for margin recovery commentary on the earnings call and any updates on defense contract momentum.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TWIN ▲ +1.68% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +1.68% · α vs SPY +1.68% · entry $24.47 → $24.88
Next anchor: T+60d in 17d
Latest observation: T+45 -9.98% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.29%
call -4.29% · α -4.70%
$23.42
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-4.54%
call -4.54% · α -5.65%
$23.36
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+1.68%
call +1.68% · α +1.68%
$24.88
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 17d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Twin Disc reported a strong fiscal Q4 2026 with revenue of $114.4M (+18.3% YoY) and diluted EPS of $0.64, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $0.23. Full-year sales grew 11.9% to $381.3M, and the company generated $17.2M in free cash flow in the quarter. However, gross margin contracted ~600bps to 26.3% due to product mix and tariff dilution, partially offsetting the top-line strength. The company also changed its inventory accounting method from LIFO to FIFO, which boosted prior-year inventory by $32.1M and complicates year-over-year comparisons.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.64
est $0.23 · +178.3%
Revenue
$114.4M
est $100.3M · +14.1% · +18.3% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Free Cash Flow
$9.2M
Gross Margin
26.3%

Key Facts

  • Q4 FY2026 revenue of $114.4M, up 18.3% YoY and above $100.3M consensus
  • Diluted EPS of $0.64 vs $0.23 consensus (178.3% beat)
  • Full-year FY2026 revenue of $381.3M, up 11.9% YoY
  • Full-year net income attributable to Twin Disc of $27.1M vs a loss of $697K in FY2025
  • Q4 EBITDA of $11.1M, up 35.1% YoY
  • Q4 free cash flow of $17.2M, nearly double the prior year
  • Six-month backlog of $178.3M, roughly flat sequentially
  • Gross margin declined ~600bps to 26.3% in Q4 due to product mix and tariff dilution
  • Total debt decreased 5.2% to $29.8M; net debt reduced to $13.8M
  • Company changed inventory accounting from LIFO to FIFO, increasing FY2025 inventory by $32.1M

Financial Impact

Q4 revenue beat consensus by $14.1M (14.1%); EPS beat by $0.41 (178.3%). Full-year net income swung from a $697K loss to $27.1M profit.

revenueepsebitdafree cash flowgross margindebt

Risk Factors

  • Gross margin compression from product mix and tariff dilution
  • Flat backlog sequentially despite strong shipments suggests potential demand normalization
  • Inventory accounting change complicates year-over-year financial comparisons
  • Foreign currency translation losses of $6.1M for the full year

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
General Industrial Machinery & Equipment
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-028596
Document: twin20260818c_8k.htm0001437749-26-028596
Document: 0001437749-26-028596-index-headers.html0001437749-26-028596
Document: 0001437749-26-028596-index.html0001437749-26-028596
Document: 0001437749-26-028596.txt0001437749-26-028596
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-028596
8 reports for TWIN
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +26.09%May 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TWIN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.10 $26.25▲ +8.92%▲ +6.66%$25.24 (+4.71%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.47 $24.88▲ +1.68%▲ +1.68%$25.24 (+3.13%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.47 $24.88▲ +1.68%▲ +1.68%$25.24 (+3.13%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$24.47 $24.88▲ +1.68%▲ +1.68%$25.24 (+3.13%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.14 $23.85▼ −1.20%▼ −0.80%$25.24 (+4.54%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.09 $18.01▼ −0.44%▼ −3.22%$25.24 (+39.50%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.09 $18.01▼ −0.44%▼ −3.22%$25.24 (+39.50%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.09 $18.01▼ −0.44%▼ −3.22%$25.24 (+39.50%)
Showing 8 of 8

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Report published Aug 20, 2026