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8-K ·Filed Feb 25, 2026

TWFG

TWFG, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed8mo ago SEC0001628280-26-011644
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The combination of strong organic growth, margin expansion, and a significant buyback suggests confidence in future cash flows. Traders should monitor execution against the 2026 guidance, particularly the 10-15% organic growth target, as continued outperformance could drive further multiple expansion.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
TWFG ▼ -1.77% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -1.77% · α vs SPY -9.94% · entry $19.20 → $18.86
Entry = T+0 close
Feb 25, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.99%
call +5.99% · α +6.47%
$20.35
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
+3.07%
call +3.07% · α +4.23%
$19.79
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
-4.58%
call -4.58% · α +1.83%
$18.32
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
-1.77%
call -1.77% · α -9.94%
$18.86
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TWFG reported strong Q4 and full-year 2025 results with revenue up 33.0% YoY to $68.8M and net income of $14.4M, driven by double-digit organic growth and MGA expansion. The company also announced a $50M share repurchase program and provided 2026 guidance for 15-20% revenue growth, signaling confidence in sustained momentum.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$68.8M
+33.0% YoY
Adj. EPS
$0.30
GAAP: $0.18
Guidance
$285M-$300M
initiated
Free Cash Flow
$13.3M

Key Facts

  • Q4 revenue increased 33.0% YoY to $68.8 million
  • Q4 net income was $14.4 million, up from $8.2 million in prior year
  • Organic revenue growth was 11.7% for the quarter
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 56.9% to $21.7 million
  • Board authorized $50 million share repurchase program
  • 2026 guidance calls for 15-20% revenue growth ($285M-$300M)

Financial Impact

Revenue increased by $17.1 million YoY in Q4, with net income up $6.2 million. The $50M share repurchase represents approximately 10% of current market cap.

revenuenet incomeepscash flowdilution

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Agency-in-a-Box$39.9M+13.5%
Corporate Branches$10.2M+36.1%
TWFG MGA$18.2M+110.0%

Risk Factors

  • Valuation could be sensitive to any miss on the aggressive 2026 guidance
  • MGA acquisitions, while accretive, carry integration risk
  • The business is exposed to insurance pricing cycles and carrier capacity

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-011644
Document: twfg-20260225.htm0001628280-26-011644
Document: 0001628280-26-011644-index-headers.html0001628280-26-011644
Document: 0001628280-26-011644-index.html0001628280-26-011644
Document: 0001628280-26-011644.txt0001628280-26-011644
7 reports for TWFG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TWFG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$26.91 $28.29▲ +5.13%▲ +2.66%$27.18 (+1.00%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$26.91 $28.29▲ +5.13%▲ +2.66%$27.18 (+1.00%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$20.65 $30.07▲ +45.59%▲ +41.78%$27.18 (+31.62%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$19.13 $26.91▲ +40.67%▲ +37.93%$27.18 (+42.08%)
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$20.00 $26.53▲ +32.65%▲ +25.75%$27.18 (+35.90%)
Apr 10, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.33 $26.10▲ +42.39%▲ +33.47%$27.18 (+48.28%)
Feb 25, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$19.20 $18.86▼ −1.77%▼ −9.94%$27.18 (+41.56%)
Showing 7 of 7

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Report published Feb 26, 2026