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8-K ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonimmediate Processed5d 5h ago SEC0001628280-26-066738
8-K with no item list reported
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor the Q4 2026 delivery and production update for signs of volume recovery and margin stabilization, as well as the pace of Robotaxi fleet expansion and FSD regulatory approvals in additional markets. The sharp rise in operating expenses (SI/R&D) and declining automotive profitability are key watchpoints.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
TSLA ▼ -0.63% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +0.63% · α vs SPY +0.11% · entry $374.58 → $372.22
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+2 -5.31% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.63%
call +0.63% · α +0.11%
$372.22
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tesla reported Q3 2026 results with total revenue roughly flat YoY at $28.0B, GAAP net income of $0.8B ($0.22 diluted EPS) declining from $1.4B ($0.39) in Q3 2025, and GAAP operating income of $0.7B declining from $1.6B. Total vehicle deliveries fell 2% YoY to 486,532 units. Operating expenses rose sharply to $4.8B, driven by SI and R&D spending. The company launched Cybercab Robotaxi service in Austin and began volume production of Tesla Semi and Optimus robots.

Key Facts

  • Total revenues of $28.0B in Q3 2026 were roughly flat YoY vs $28.1B in Q3 2025
  • GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders fell to $787M from $1,373M YoY
  • GAAP diluted EPS fell to $0.22 from $0.39 YoY
  • Non-GAAP diluted EPS fell to $0.48 from $0.50 YoY
  • Total vehicle deliveries fell 2% YoY to 486,532 units
  • GAAP operating income fell to $718M from $1,624M YoY
  • Operating expenses rose to $4,776M from $3,430M YoY
  • Automotive regulatory credits revenue fell to $113M from $417M YoY
  • Free cash flow was $1.5B, down from $4.0B in Q3 2025
  • Energy generation and storage revenue fell to $2,881M from $3,415M YoY
  • Cash and investments increased to $45.4B from $43.5B sequentially

Financial Impact

GAAP net income declined $586M YoY (42.7%); GAAP diluted EPS declined $0.17 YoY (43.6%); operating income declined $906M YoY (55.8%); operating expenses increased $1,346M YoY (39.2%)

revenuenet incomeepsoperating incomeoperating marginvehicle deliveriesfree cash flowregulatory credits revenue

Risk Factors

  • Declining vehicle deliveries YoY despite record production at some factories
  • Sharp decline in regulatory credit revenue from $417M to $113M YoY
  • Operating expenses rising faster than revenue growth, compressing margins
  • Energy storage revenue declining YoY with tariff-related customer refunds
  • Battery availability continues to limit auto volume growth

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-066738
Document: tsla-20261021.htm0001628280-26-066738
Document: 0001628280-26-066738-index-headers.html0001628280-26-066738
Document: 0001628280-26-066738-index.html0001628280-26-066738
Document: 0001628280-26-066738.txt0001628280-26-066738
25 reports for TSLA
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +11.68%Apr 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TSLA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$381.56awaiting T+5—$391.62 (+2.64%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$374.58awaiting T+5—$391.62 (+4.55%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$372.22awaiting T+5—$391.62 (+5.21%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$374.58awaiting T+5—$391.62 (−4.55%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$373.71awaiting T+5—$391.62 (+4.79%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$368.06 $391.62▲ +6.40%▲ +6.55%$391.62 (+6.40%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$368.06 $391.62▲ +6.40%▲ +6.55%$391.62 (+6.40%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$368.06 $391.62▲ +6.40%▲ +6.55%$391.62 (+6.40%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
DEF 14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$368.06 $391.62▲ +6.40%▲ +6.55%$391.62 (+6.40%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$362.44 $374.58▲ +3.35%▲ +4.36%$391.62 (+8.05%)
Showing 10 of 25

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 8m)

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Report published Oct 21, 2026