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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

TS

Tenaris SA
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss is severe relative to Street consensus, but note that the Street-EPS reference shows $1.07 for Mar 2026—the Q2 figure is a sharp sequential drop. The Strait of Hormuz disruption is a temporary operational headwind, but with no clear timeline for resolution and H2 guidance implying continued stagnation, the stock is likely to reprice lower. Monitor weekly OCTG pricing and Middle East shipping updates for the next catalyst.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TS ▲ +5.45% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -5.45% · α vs SPY -4.85% · entry $53.40 → $56.31
Next anchor: T+60d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+55 -14.80% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.67%
call +0.67% · α +1.29%
$53.04
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-1.46%
call +1.46% · α +2.67%
$52.62
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+5.45%
call -5.45% · α -4.85%
$56.31
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
tomorrow

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tenaris reported Q2 2026 EPS of $0.47 per share ($0.95 per ADS), significantly below consensus of $0.82, while revenue of $2.97B roughly matched estimates. Sales declined 4% sequentially and year-on-year, driven by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and higher raw-material costs. EBITDA margin compressed to 21.9% from 23.7% in the prior quarter, and the H1 2026 outlook suggests no near-term recovery.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.47
est $0.82 · -42.7%
Revenue
$3.0B
est $2.9B · +0.9% · -4.0% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
$396.1M
Gross Margin
33.2%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 EPS (per share) $0.47 vs consensus $0.82 (miss of ~43%)
  • Q2 2026 revenue $2.97B vs consensus $2.94B, roughly in line but down 4% YoY
  • EBITDA margin fell to 21.9% vs 23.7% sequentially
  • Strait of Hormuz disruption drove ~$223M sequential sales deferral in Middle East
  • Net cash position unchanged at $3.6B; interim dividend of ~$600M declared for November 2026
  • H2 2026 guidance: sales and EBITDA expected to remain in line with H1 levels, with continued headwinds from Middle East disruption and higher raw material costs

Financial Impact

EPS missed by ~43%, revenue roughly in line; EBITDA declined ~11% YoY; free cash flow $396M vs $538M in the year-ago quarter

epsrevenueebitdafree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption further depressing Middle East shipments
  • Higher raw material and tariff costs eating into margins
  • Potential downgrade of H2 2026 consensus if disruption persists into Q3 and Q4

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
Analyst Consensus
45% bullish (20 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3339818
8 reports for TS
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate @ T+5 1 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +8.58%May 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$53.04 $53.58▼ −1.02%▼ −0.62%$59.31 (−11.82%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$53.04 $53.58▼ −1.02%▼ −0.62%$59.31 (−11.82%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$53.04 $53.58▼ −1.02%▼ −0.62%$59.31 (−11.82%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$53.40 $52.62▲ +1.46%▲ +2.67%$59.31 (−11.07%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$61.87 $62.08▲ +0.34%▲ +0.42%$59.31 (−4.14%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$58.96 $63.60▲ +7.87%▲ +6.37%$59.31 (+0.59%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$58.96 $63.60▲ +7.87%▲ +6.37%$59.31 (+0.59%)
Mar 30, 2026
30w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$58.18 $58.64▲ +0.79%▼ −3.15%$59.31 (+1.94%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 5, 2026