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8-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

TROX

Tronox Holdings plc
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001140361-26-019589
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The severe EPS and revenue miss likely to drive a sharp sell-off. Watch for further downside as the company remains deeply unprofitable with high leverage. The Q2 guidance suggests only marginal improvement, so any bounce may be short-lived. Monitor TiO2 pricing and volume trends for signs of a sustained recovery.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
TROX ▼ -32.27% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +32.27% · α vs SPY +37.11% · entry $8.77 → $5.94
Entry = T+0 close
May 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.39%
call -6.39% · α -6.15%
$9.33
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-2.62%
call +2.62% · α +4.09%
$8.54
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-16.31%
call +16.31% · α +16.33%
$7.34
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-32.27%
call +32.27% · α +37.11%
$5.94
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tronox reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of -$0.55, significantly missing consensus of -$0.26, and revenue of $760M missed $812M consensus. Adjusted EBITDA fell 45% YoY to $62M. Guidance for Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $65-$85M suggests only modest sequential improvement. The continued losses and high leverage (11.1x net debt/EBITDA) reinforce a bearish outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.55
est −$0.26 · -111.5%
Revenue
$760.0M
est $812.2M · -6.4% · +3.0% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Free Cash Flow
-$135.0M
Gross Margin
5.8%

Key Facts

  • Revenue $760M (+3% YoY, -6.4% vs consensus $812.2M)
  • GAAP diluted EPS -$0.65, Adjusted diluted EPS -$0.55 (consensus -$0.26, -111% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $62M (-45% YoY, margin 8.2%)
  • Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance $65-$85M (improving but still weak)
  • Net loss attributable to Tronox $103M; free cash flow -$135M
  • Net debt $3.17B; net leverage 11.1x TTM Adjusted EBITDA
  • Restructuring charges of $14M related to plant closures

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS miss of -111% and revenue miss of -6.4% represent a significant earnings disappointment.

revenueepsadjustedEbitdacashFlow

Risk Factors

  • Continued net losses and negative free cash flow
  • High net leverage (11.1x) increases financial risk
  • Pricing headwinds and input cost inflation persist
  • Geopolitical uncertainty and trade policy changes

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Industrial Inorganic Chemicals
Analyst Consensus
60% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-019589
Document: ef20072648_8k.htm0001140361-26-019589
Document: 0001140361-26-019589-index-headers.html0001140361-26-019589
Document: 0001140361-26-019589-index.html0001140361-26-019589
Document: 0001140361-26-019589.txt0001140361-26-019589
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001140361-26-019589
4 reports for TROX
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TROX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$3.87awaiting T+60—$3.47 (−10.34%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$6.95awaiting T+60—$3.47 (−50.07%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$8.77 $5.94▲ +32.27%▲ +37.11%$3.47 (+60.43%)
Mar 6, 2026
33w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.50 $8.04▼ −23.64%▼ −10.86%$3.47 (+46.64%)
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 5h 40m

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Report published May 7, 2026