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EFFECT ·Filed May 13, 2026

TRAX

First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001596
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The effectiveness unlocks a large block of shares for secondary selling, creating near-term overhang. Monitor for any selling stockholder filings (Form 144) or volume spikes in the coming days. The company's cash position was recently boosted by the $80M private placement, so no immediate capital need — but the overhang may cap upside until the registered shares are absorbed.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TRAX ▲ +145.96% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +145.96% · α vs SPY +141.52% · entry $18.43 → $45.33
Entry = T+0 close
May 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.47%
call -1.47% · α -2.24%
$18.16
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-9.60%
call -9.60% · α -8.45%
$16.66
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-7.60%
call -7.60% · α -6.98%
$17.03
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+145.96%
call +145.96% · α +141.52%
$45.33
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

First Tracks Biotherapeutics' S-1 registration (333-295719) became effective on May 12, 2026, covering the resale of up to 10,497,054 shares by selling stockholders. The company receives no proceeds from this offering, which stems from a March 2026 private placement that raised ~$80M at $13.81/share. The effectiveness creates a near-term overhang as the registered shares become freely tradable, though the company itself is not raising capital.

Key Facts

  • S-1 registration effective May 12, 2026 (SEC File No. 333-295719)
  • Covers resale of up to 10,497,054 shares by selling stockholders
  • Company receives no proceeds from this offering
  • Shares stem from March 2026 private placement at $13.81/share raising ~$80M for the company
  • Effectiveness date: May 12, 2026; filing accepted May 13, 2026

Financial Impact

Up to 10.5M shares become eligible for resale, representing ~16.9% of current shares outstanding (based on ~62M shares at $621M market cap / ~$10 stock price). No new capital raised by the company.

dilutionshare overhang

Risk Factors

  • Near-term selling pressure from registered shares entering the market
  • Potential price suppression until the overhang clears
  • No company proceeds from this offering — dilution without capital benefit

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001596
Document: 9999999995-26-001596-index.html9999999995-26-001596
Document: 9999999995-26-001596.txt9999999995-26-001596
20 reports for TRAX
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+5▲ +30.21%Oct 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TRAX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
S-1
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$43.80awaiting T+1—$44.05 (+0.57%)
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.77 $43.14▲ +0.87%▲ +2.05%$44.05 (+2.99%)
Oct 15, 2026
10d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$34.46 $36.28▼ −5.28%▼ −4.86%$44.05 (−27.83%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$36.04 $34.46▲ +4.38%▲ +3.28%$44.05 (−22.23%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$31.68 $34.13▲ +7.73%▲ +8.81%$44.05 (+39.05%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$44.03 $44.04▲ +0.02%▲ +0.22%$44.05 (+0.05%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$44.03 $44.04▲ +0.02%▲ +0.22%$44.05 (+0.05%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
3/A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$47.92 $46.75▼ −2.44%▼ −2.12%$44.05 (−8.08%)
Jun 22, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.78 $16.69▼ −6.13%▼ −6.08%$44.05 (+147.75%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$16.90 $17.79▲ +5.27%▲ +5.33%$44.05 (+160.65%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 19m

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Report published May 13, 2026