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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Apr 29, 2026

TPH

Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The operating deterioration is severe, but the stock's primary driver is the Sumitomo Forestry merger at a fixed price — watch for any closing condition updates or deal renegotiation risk. If the merger closes as planned, standalone Q1 results become irrelevant; if it falters, TPH faces a 90% net income decline and weakening backlog.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
TPH ▲ +0.28% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -0.28% · α vs SPY +2.83% · entry $46.82 → $46.95
Next anchor: T+20d due 5mo ago
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.15%
call -0.15% · α +0.87%
$46.89
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+0.28%
call -0.28% · α +2.83%
$46.95
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
Pending
due 5mo ago
T+60d
Pending
due 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tri Pointe Homes reported Q1 2026 EPS of $0.08, a massive miss vs. $0.17 consensus, with home sales revenue plunging 29.7% YoY to $506.5M. Net income collapsed 89.4% to $6.8M, driven by a 510bps homebuilding gross margin contraction and $5.9M in merger-related transaction expenses. The results are overshadowed by the pending Sumitomo Forestry acquisition, which has cleared antitrust and stockholder approval hurdles.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.08
est $0.17 · -52.9%
Revenue
$506.5M
est $495.7M · +2.2% · -29.7% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Gross Margin
18.8%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 EPS $0.08 vs consensus $0.17 — a 52.9% miss
  • Home sales revenue $506.5M, down 29.7% YoY from $720.8M
  • Net income available to common stockholders $6.8M, down 89.4% YoY
  • Homebuilding gross margin 18.8%, down from 23.9% YoY (510bps contraction)
  • Adjusted homebuilding gross margin 22.3%, down from 27.3% YoY
  • New home deliveries fell 29.2% to 736 homes from 1,040
  • SG&A expense as % of home sales revenue rose to 17.9% from 14.0%
  • Backlog dollar value $989.9M, down 24.3% YoY
  • Merger with Sumitomo Forestry has cleared HSR and stockholder approval; closing conditions remain
  • Transaction expense of $5.9M in the quarter related to the merger

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.09 vs consensus; revenue miss of ~$10.8M vs $495.7M consensus; net income decline of $57.3M YoY

epsrevenuenet incomehomebuilding gross marginnew home deliveries

Risk Factors

  • Merger fails to close, leaving TPH with sharply deteriorating standalone operations
  • Further homebuilding margin compression if interest rates remain elevated
  • Backlog conversion risk — backlog units down 20.7% and ASP down 4.6%
  • SG&A deleveraging as fixed costs absorb lower revenue

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Operative Builders
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3283532
8 reports for TPH
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +0.19%Apr 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TPH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
—awaiting T+5——
May 14, 2026
23w ago
25-NSE
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$46.95awaiting T+5——
May 14, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$46.95awaiting T+5——
May 14, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$46.95awaiting T+5——
Apr 29, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$46.82 $46.83▼ −0.02%▲ +3.09%—
Apr 29, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$46.82 $46.95▼ −0.28%▲ +2.83%—
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$46.86 $46.90▲ +0.09%▼ −0.47%—
Feb 25, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$46.38 $46.35▲ +0.06%▼ −1.03%—
Showing 8 of 8

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Report published Apr 29, 2026