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8-K ·Filed May 11, 2026

TNXP

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001999371-26-010487
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss and accelerating cash burn are the primary negatives, partially offset by TONMYA's early commercial traction. Watch for the 10-Q filing (expected ~May 11) for full financials and any guidance on TONMYA prescription trends and payer coverage expansion. The ATM dilution pattern is a persistent overhang.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
TNXP ▼ -12.27% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +12.27% · α vs SPY +16.66% · entry $13.28 → $11.65
Entry = T+0 close
May 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.54%
$13.28
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+7.38%
call -7.38% · α -7.30%
$14.26
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-17.47%
call +17.47% · α +15.74%
$10.96
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-12.27%
call +12.27% · α +16.66%
$11.65
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tonix Pharmaceuticals reported Q1 2026 revenue of $6.9M, up 183% YoY from $2.4M, driven by the TONMYA launch ($3.7M in its first full quarter). However, the net loss widened to $40.2M from $16.8M YoY as operating expenses surged to $48.4M (R&D + SG&A) to support commercialization. EPS of -$2.93 missed consensus of -$2.54 by 15.4%. Cash burn accelerated to $42.3M in operating cash flow, and the company raised $22.6M post-quarter via ATM to extend runway into early Q2 2027.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$2.93
est −$2.54 · -15.3%
Revenue
$6.9M
est $7.0M · -1.7% · +183.2% YoY
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net product revenue $6.9M vs $2.4M YoY (+183%), including $3.7M from TONMYA (launched Nov 2025)
  • Net loss widened to $40.2M from $16.8M YoY; EPS -$2.93 missed consensus of -$2.54 (-15.4%)
  • Operating expenses surged to $48.4M from $18.5M YoY, driven by $28.6M SG&A (sales/marketing for TONMYA) and $18.2M R&D
  • Cash and equivalents $185.5M at March 31, 2026, down from $207.6M a year ago; net cash used in operations $42.3M vs $16.6M YoY
  • Post-quarter raised $22.6M via ATM; cash runway extended into early Q2 2027
  • TONMYA metrics: 2,145 prescribers, 3,588 patients initiated, ~5,400 prescriptions filled in Q1; GPO deal covers ~35M commercial lives
  • Shares outstanding rose to 15.9M as of May 8, 2026, from 5.9M a year ago (dilution from ATM and prior equity raises)

Financial Impact

Net loss of $40.2M on $6.9M revenue; EPS miss of 15.4% vs consensus; cash burn rate doubled YoY

revenueepsnet losscash flowdilution

Risk Factors

  • Cash burn rate doubled YoY to $42.3M/quarter; runway only into early Q2 2027 despite $22.6M ATM raise
  • Dilution from ATM and equity raises: shares outstanding tripled YoY to 15.9M
  • TONMYA revenue still small ($3.7M) relative to $48.4M operating expenses; path to profitability unclear
  • Pipeline programs (TNX-4800, TNX-102 SL) are early-stage with no near-term revenue catalyst

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001999371-26-010487
Document: tnxp-8k_051126.htm0001999371-26-010487
Document: 0001999371-26-010487-index-headers.html0001999371-26-010487
Document: 0001999371-26-010487-index.html0001999371-26-010487
Document: 0001999371-26-010487.txt0001999371-26-010487
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001999371-26-010487
28 reports for TNXP
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 10 best @ T+20▲ +32.15%Aug 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TNXP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.73awaiting T+20—$5.30 (−7.50%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$6.42awaiting T+20—$5.30 (−17.45%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.07awaiting T+20—$5.30 (+34.32%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.59 $5.78▼ −45.42%▼ −44.86%$5.30 (−49.95%)
Sep 8, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.16 $7.70▼ −41.49%▼ −43.46%$5.30 (−59.73%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.59 $13.16▲ +4.53%▲ +5.44%$5.30 (−57.90%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$12.59 $13.16▲ +4.53%▲ +5.44%$5.30 (−57.90%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.67 $14.10▲ +32.15%▲ +30.91%$5.30 (−50.33%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$10.37 $12.45▲ +20.06%▲ +16.76%$5.30 (−48.89%)
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$11.71 $12.59▲ +7.56%▲ +4.38%$5.30 (−54.72%)
Showing 10 of 28

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Report published May 11, 2026