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8-K ·Filed Jul 13, 2026

TNXP

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001493152-26-032925
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

This coverage milestone significantly broadens the addressable patient population for TONMYA, a key catalyst for revenue ramp. Monitor prescription data and upcoming quarterly earnings for evidence of conversion. Sales force expansion ahead of the Jan 1, 2027 effective date suggests management expects accelerating demand. Positive read-through for the commercial execution thesis.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TNXP ▼ -34.26% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -34.26% · α vs SPY -38.25% · entry $11.71 → $7.70
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-5.51%
call -5.51% · α -5.87%
$11.06
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+6.19%
call +6.19% · α +6.98%
$12.43
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+7.56%
call +7.56% · α +4.38%
$12.59
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-34.26%
call -34.26% · α -38.25%
$7.70
settled 20d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tonix announced a major Medicare Part D payer agreement for TONMYA, adding approximately 9 million Medicare lives (16% of U.S. Medicare) effective January 1, 2027. Combined with prior commercial and Medicaid coverage, total access will reach ~145 million lives (46% of covered lives). The company is also expanding its sales force to 150 representatives by mid-Q3 2026, signaling confidence in the launch trajectory.

Key Facts

  • New Medicare PBM agreement adds ~9 million Medicare Part D lives effective Jan 1, 2027
  • Total TONMYA coverage to reach ~145 million lives (46% of 314 million covered lives) by Jan 1, 2027
  • Medicaid already covers ~73 million lives in most states
  • Two prior commercial payer agreements through GPOs effective Q2 2026
  • Sales force to expand from ~100 to ~150 representatives by mid-Q3 2026
  • TONMYA is the first new FDA-approved fibromyalgia treatment in over 15 years (approved Aug 15, 2025)

Financial Impact

No specific revenue or financial impact quantified in the filing; coverage expansion is expected to drive future prescription volume and revenue growth.

revenueprescription volumemarket access

Risk Factors

  • Coverage does not guarantee prescription uptake; physician adoption and patient conversion remain uncertain
  • Competition from existing fibromyalgia treatments (e.g., Lyrica, Cymbalta, Savella) may limit market share
  • Delays in sales force deployment or payer contracting could slow momentum
  • Patent exclusivity only until 2034; generic or biosimilar threats may emerge

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-032925
Exhibit: ex99-01.htm0001493152-26-032925
Document: 0001493152-26-032925-index-headers.html0001493152-26-032925
Document: 0001493152-26-032925-index.html0001493152-26-032925
Document: 0001493152-26-032925.txt0001493152-26-032925
28 reports for TNXP
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 10 best @ T+20▲ +32.15%Aug 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TNXP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.73awaiting T+20—$5.30 (−7.50%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$6.42awaiting T+20—$5.30 (−17.45%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.07awaiting T+20—$5.30 (+34.32%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.59 $5.78▼ −45.42%▼ −44.86%$5.30 (−49.95%)
Sep 8, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.16 $7.70▼ −41.49%▼ −43.46%$5.30 (−59.73%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.59 $13.16▲ +4.53%▲ +5.44%$5.30 (−57.90%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$12.59 $13.16▲ +4.53%▲ +5.44%$5.30 (−57.90%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.67 $14.10▲ +32.15%▲ +30.91%$5.30 (−50.33%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$10.37 $12.45▲ +20.06%▲ +16.76%$5.30 (−48.89%)
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$11.71 $12.59▲ +7.56%▲ +4.38%$5.30 (−54.72%)
Showing 10 of 28

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Jul 13, 2026