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8-K ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

TNXP

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001493152-26-036740
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Tonix's TONMYA launch is tracking well ahead of prior expectations, with Q2 net sales nearly tripling QoQ and meaningful payer coverage milestones achieved ($136M lives, 43% coverage). The coming sales force expansion to ~150 reps and managed Medicare access in Jan 2027 support continued prescription growth. Monitor the cadence of bridge-to-revenue conversions, cash burn trajectory, and Phase 2 HORIZON MDD study enrollment as the next catalysts.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TNXP ▲ +4.53% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +4.53% · α vs SPY +5.44% · entry $12.59 → $13.16
Next anchor: T+60d in 7d
Latest observation: T+53 -46.42% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 10, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.99%
call -1.99% · α -1.67%
$12.34
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+0.56%
call +0.56% · α +0.60%
$12.66
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+4.53%
call +4.53% · α +5.44%
$13.16
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tonix Pharmaceuticals reported Q2 2026 net product revenue of $13.5M, up 578% YoY from $2.0M, driven by $11.0M in TONMYA net sales (up 197% QoQ). Commercial payer access expanded to ~136M covered lives (43% of U.S.). Net loss widened to $40.6M (-$2.44/sh) on higher SG&A and R&D, vs -$28.3M (-$3.86/sh) a year ago. At $176.2M cash, runway extends into early Q2 2027. The TONMYA launch trajectory is the key catalyst for equity value.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$2.44
est −$2.71 · +10.0%
Revenue
$13.5M
+578.0% YoY
Rating
beat

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 net product revenue $13.5M vs $2.0M YoY (up 578%); TONMYA net sales alone $11.0M, up 197% QoQ from Q1
  • Total prescriptions rose 100% QoQ to 12,592; refills up 207% QoQ; new patient scripts up 36% QoQ
  • Commercial payer coverage expanded to ~136M covered lives (43% of U.S.); Medicare coverage agreement adds ~9M lives Jan 1, 2027
  • Sales force to expand by 50 reps to ~150 by September 2026
  • Net loss $40.6M (-$2.44/sh) vs $28.3M (-$3.86/sh) YoY; weighted shares up 127% YoY to 16.6M
  • Cash $176.2M at June 30, 2026; raised $3.7M post-quarter via ATM; runway into early Q2 2027

Financial Impact

Total revenue $13.5M (578% YoY); TONMYA net sales $11.0M, up 197% QoQ; cash burn $84.6M in H1 2026 operating cash flow vs $31.4M H1 2025

product revenuenet losscash positionoperating expenses

Risk Factors

  • Bridge prescriptions do not immediately generate net product revenue; conversion risk remains
  • Cash burn accelerated to $84.6M operating cash outflow in H1 2026 vs $31.4M in H1 2025; reliance on ATM facility
  • Dilution risk: weighted share count 16.6M at Q2 end, up 127% YoY; additional ATM sales post-quarter
  • Launch of a first-in-class fibromyalgia drug requires sustained prescriber adoption and payer reimbursement expansion

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-036740
Document: form8-k.htm0001493152-26-036740
Document: 0001493152-26-036740-index-headers.html0001493152-26-036740
Document: 0001493152-26-036740-index.html0001493152-26-036740
Document: 0001493152-26-036740.txt0001493152-26-036740
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001493152-26-036740
28 reports for TNXP
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 10 best @ T+20▲ +32.15%Aug 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TNXP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.73awaiting T+20—$5.30 (−7.50%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$6.42awaiting T+20—$5.30 (−17.45%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.07awaiting T+20—$5.30 (+34.32%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.59 $5.78▼ −45.42%▼ −44.86%$5.30 (−49.95%)
Sep 8, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.16 $7.70▼ −41.49%▼ −43.46%$5.30 (−59.73%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.59 $13.16▲ +4.53%▲ +5.44%$5.30 (−57.90%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$12.59 $13.16▲ +4.53%▲ +5.44%$5.30 (−57.90%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.67 $14.10▲ +32.15%▲ +30.91%$5.30 (−50.33%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$10.37 $12.45▲ +20.06%▲ +16.76%$5.30 (−48.89%)
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$11.71 $12.59▲ +7.56%▲ +4.38%$5.30 (−54.72%)
Showing 10 of 28

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Report published Aug 10, 2026