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6-K ·Filed Jun 29, 2026

TMDE

TMD Energy Ltd
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001493152-26-031084
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The fundamental deterioration is severe and broad-based — revenue, volume, margins, and net income all declined sharply. The biofuel MOA extension is a non-binding early-stage exploratory agreement with no committed capital or revenue, providing no near-term offset. Monitor for any further liquidity stress given the thin equity cushion ($13.5M vs $111.7M in liabilities) and watch for any debt covenant or going-concern disclosure in the next 10-Q/20-F.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TMDE ▼ -8.94% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +8.94% · α vs SPY +12.50% · entry $0.7688 → $0.7001
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.70%
call -4.70% · α -4.83%
$0.8049
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+3.90%
call -3.90% · α -3.30%
$0.7988
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+4.06%
call -4.06% · α -5.09%
$0.8000
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-8.94%
call +8.94% · α +12.50%
$0.7001
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TMD Energy reported a severe deterioration in first-half FY2026 results, with total revenue down 22.5% to $247.6M and a net loss of $8.5M vs. a $0.9M profit a year ago. Gross profit collapsed 93.8% to just $0.7M (0.3% margin) amid tariff-driven demand weakness, lower oil prices, and cost inflation that the company could not pass through. The only positive note is a two-year extension of a biofuel collaboration agreement, but this is early-stage and non-binding.

Key Facts

  • Total revenue declined 22.5% YoY to $247.6M for H1 FY2026
  • Net loss of $8.5M vs net income of $0.9M in prior-year period
  • Gross profit margin collapsed to 0.3% from 3.4%
  • Bunkering volume fell 10.1% to 516,676 metric tons
  • EPS swung to -$0.35 from +$0.03
  • Accumulated losses turned negative at ($42,124) vs retained earnings of $8.3M six months prior
  • Total liabilities rose to $111.7M from $102.3M, with equity falling to $13.5M from $22.6M
  • Company announced a two-year extension of a non-binding MOA with Double Corporate Sdn Bhd for waste-based biofuels evaluation

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of $72.1M (22.5%), net income swing of -$9.4M (from +$0.9M to -$8.5M), gross profit decline of $10.2M (93.8%)

revenuegross profitnet incomeEPSgross marginshareholders' equity

Risk Factors

  • Continued tariff and geopolitical uncertainty further depressing marine fuel demand
  • Negative equity trend — accumulated losses turned negative and equity dropped 40% in six months
  • High leverage: short-term loans of $91.5M against total equity of $13.5M
  • Gross margin near zero leaves no buffer against further cost increases or price compression
  • Biofuel collaboration is non-binding and pre-revenue — no near-term financial impact

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Wholesale-Petroleum & Petroleum Products (No Bulk Stations)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-031084
Exhibit: ex99-2.htm0001493152-26-031084
Document: form6-k.htm0001493152-26-031084
Document: 0001493152-26-031084-index-headers.html0001493152-26-031084
Document: 0001493152-26-031084-index.html0001493152-26-031084
Document: 0001493152-26-031084.txt0001493152-26-031084
6 reports for TMDE
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TMDE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.5801awaiting T+20—$0.5800 (−0.02%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.6458awaiting T+20—$0.5800 (−10.19%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.7737 $0.6458▲ +16.53%▲ +18.66%$0.5800 (+25.04%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7265 $0.7737▲ +6.50%▲ +8.39%$0.5800 (−20.17%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7688 $0.8000▼ −4.06%▼ −5.09%$0.5800 (+24.56%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.7800 $0.7988▲ +2.41%▲ +0.78%$0.5800 (−25.64%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 6h 19m

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Report published Jul 3, 2026