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8-K ·Filed Aug 4, 2026

TKR

TIMKEN CO
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0000098362-26-000048
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The core business is executing well with strong margin expansion and raised guidance, but the $94.4M belts impairment and GAAP earnings decline introduce headline risk. Monitor the belts divestiture closing (expected Q3 2026) and the upcoming Investor Day for further strategic details. The raised adjusted guidance supports a positive fundamental view, but the GAAP noise may create volatility.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
TKR ▼ -9.80% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -9.80% · α vs SPY -8.56% · entry $132.03 → $119.09
Next anchor: T+60d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+57 -17.93% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.54%
call -0.54% · α -0.34%
$131.32
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-2.64%
call -2.64% · α -2.54%
$128.54
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-9.80%
call -9.80% · α -8.56%
$119.09
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
tomorrow

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Timken reported Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.83, a 12.9% beat vs $1.62 consensus, on revenue of $1.26B (+7.5% YoY). GAAP EPS was $0.41, depressed by a $94.4M impairment charge related to the planned sale of its belts business. The company raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $6.05-$6.35 (from $5.75-$6.25) and slightly increased its revenue growth outlook to ~5.5%. The core business is performing well with expanding margins, but the large impairment and GAAP earnings decline create a mixed picture for the stock.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.83
est $1.62 · +13.0%
Revenue
$1.3B
est $1.2B · +2.5% · +7.5% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
~5.5% growth at midpoint from 2025
raised
Free Cash Flow
$80.5M

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.83 beat consensus of $1.62 by 12.9%
  • Revenue of $1.26B was up 7.5% YoY and slightly above the $1.23B consensus
  • GAAP EPS was $0.41, down 63.4% YoY, due to a $94.4M impairment charge for the belts business divestiture
  • Raised full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $6.05-$6.35 from $5.75-$6.25
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 190 bps YoY to 19.6%, including an $8.0M tariff refund benefit
  • Industrial Motion segment sales grew 14.6% YoY with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 500 bps to 23.3%
  • Free cash flow was $80.5M, up 2.9% YoY; net debt to adjusted EBITDA improved to 2.0x

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS beat consensus by $0.21 (12.9%); full-year adjusted EPS guidance raised by $0.30 at the midpoint

adjusted EPSrevenueadjusted EBITDA marginfree cash flownet debt to adjusted EBITDA

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk on the belts business divestiture and associated impairment charges
  • Potential for further tariff-related costs or supply chain disruptions
  • Elevated operating costs could pressure margins if volume growth slows

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Ball & Roller Bearings
Analyst Consensus
53% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000098362-26-000048
Document: tkr-20260804.htm0000098362-26-000048
Document: 0000098362-26-000048-index-headers.html0000098362-26-000048
Document: 0000098362-26-000048-index.html0000098362-26-000048
Document: 0000098362-26-000048.txt0000098362-26-000048
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000098362-26-000048
9 reports for TKR
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TKR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$132.03awaiting T+60—$111.52 (−15.53%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$137.55awaiting T+60—$111.52 (−18.92%)
Jul 6, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$138.06 $116.75▼ −15.44%▼ −17.43%$111.52 (−19.22%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.39 $131.32▲ +11.87%▲ +7.47%$111.52 (−5.00%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$117.97 $132.03▲ +11.92%▲ +7.08%$111.52 (−5.47%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$117.97 $132.03▲ +11.92%▲ +7.08%$111.52 (−5.47%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$119.70 $137.55▲ +14.91%▲ +12.85%$111.52 (−6.83%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$106.79 $137.78▲ +29.02%▲ +24.24%$111.52 (+4.43%)
Mar 17, 2026
31w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$98.59 $137.09▲ +39.05%▲ +29.19%$111.52 (+13.11%)
Showing 9 of 9

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Report published Aug 4, 2026