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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Oct 12, 2026

TGT

TARGET CORP
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed15d 5h ago
Institutional cluster: 64 buyers, 42 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The divergence between active asset managers (buying) and quant funds (selling) creates an interesting tension. Monitor upcoming earnings for a catalyst that could resolve this disagreement — if the bulls are right, the quant selling may have created a buying opportunity; if the quants are right, the asset manager accumulation may be premature.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
TGT ▼ -0.21% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -0.21% · α vs SPY +1.28% · entry $153.62 → $153.29
Next anchor: T+20d in 13d
Latest observation: T+9 -5.67% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.06%
call -1.06% · α -1.05%
$151.99
settled 14d ago
T+5d
-0.21%
call -0.21% · α +1.28%
$153.29
settled 8d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 13d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster for TGT in Q2 2026 shows 64 buyers accumulating $1.02B in new positions, led by Bank of New York Mellon ($467.8M), Bank of Montreal ($166.2M), and Eurizon Capital ($116.3M), while 42 sellers reduced holdings by $1.13B, with D.E. Shaw (-$556.1M), Jane Street (-$212.9M), and Millennium (-$161.8M) leading exits. The net direction is nearly balanced, with active asset managers on both sides and quant funds predominantly selling, suggesting disagreement on the stock's near-term outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$2.0B
Net Flow
-$110.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$110.0M

▲ Buyers (64)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Bank Of New York MellonDOUBLED+112.2%$831.5M$467.8M
Bank Of Montreal /CanDOUBLED+196%$242.1M$166.2M
Eurizon Capital Sgr S.p.a.DOUBLED+402.6%$142.0M$116.3M
American Century CompaniesADD+30%$415.4M$118.9M
CitigroupADD+34.6%$221.5M$68.8M

▼ Sellers (42)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
D.E. ShawTRIM-61.1%$957.6M-$556.1M
Jane Street GroupNEAR_EXIT-95.3%$224.4M-$212.9M
MillenniumNEAR_EXIT-78.8%$209.8M-$161.8M
Point72EXIT-100%$71.1M-$71.1M
Fort Washington Investment AdvisorsEXIT-100%$42.3M-$42.3M

Key Facts

  • 64 institutional buyers added $1.02B in new TGT positions during Q2 2026
  • 42 institutional sellers reduced holdings by $1.13B during the same period
  • Top buyer: Bank of New York Mellon doubled its stake to $831.5M (+$467.8M)
  • Top seller: D.E. Shaw trimmed 61.1% of its position, exiting $556.1M in value
  • Three major quant funds (D.E. Shaw, Point72, Millennium) all reduced or exited TGT
  • Net aggregate change across all tracked institutions is approximately -$110M (slight selling bias)

Financial Impact

Institutional buyers accumulated $1.02B in new TGT positions while sellers reduced by $1.13B, resulting in a net -$110M aggregate change across 106 tracked funds

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale — these positions may have already been unwound
  • Quant fund selling (D.E. Shaw, Point72, Millennium) suggests systematic risk models flagged TGT
  • Net aggregate is nearly flat, indicating no strong consensus direction among institutions

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-TGT-2026-Q2
14 reports for TGT
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +26.29%May 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TGT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$153.29awaiting T+20——
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$153.62awaiting T+20——
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+20——
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$156.26 $152.38▼ −2.48%▼ −3.17%—
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$163.18 $158.43▼ −2.91%▼ −3.17%—
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$165.93 $157.45▼ −5.11%▼ −5.14%—
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$159.00 $159.83▲ +0.52%▲ +2.47%—
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$139.59 $151.01▲ +8.18%▲ +4.06%—
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$133.17 $134.77▲ +1.20%▲ +1.95%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$132.64 $132.27▼ −0.28%▼ −2.17%—
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 1h 56m

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Report published Oct 12, 2026