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8-K ·Filed May 13, 2026

STUB

StubHub Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001628280-26-034632
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong Q1 beat and reiterated guidance suggest the FY2026 targets are achievable. Watch for continued margin expansion and debt reduction progress in Q2. The $100M May debt paydown further strengthens the balance sheet. Monitor the open distribution and advertising initiatives for incremental revenue catalysts.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
STUB ▲ +34.04% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +34.04% · α vs SPY +34.89% · entry $8.55 → $11.46
Next anchor: T+60d due 3mo ago
Entry = T+0 close
May 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.01%
$8.55
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+15.09%
call +15.09% · α +15.81%
$9.84
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+34.04%
call +34.04% · α +34.89%
$11.46
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
Pending
due 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

StubHub reported Q1 2026 results with revenue of $446.0M (+12% YoY) and GAAP net income of $48.0M, a sharp swing from a $22.2M net loss in Q1 2025. Adjusted EBITDA rose 50% to $72.1M with margin expanding 400 bps to 16%. The company reiterated its full-year 2026 guidance for GMS of $9.9B-$10.1B and Adjusted EBITDA of $400M-$420M, signaling confidence in the growth trajectory.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.06
est −$0.01 · +700.0%
Revenue
$446.0M
est $425.0M · +5.0% · +12.2% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Free Cash Flow
$290.6M

Key Facts

  • Revenue of $446.0M, up 12% YoY from $397.6M
  • Net income of $48.0M vs net loss of $22.2M in prior-year period
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $72.1M, up 50% YoY; margin expanded to 16% from 12%
  • GMS of $2.2B, up 7% YoY
  • Operating cash flow of $298.4M, up 88% YoY; Free cash flow of $290.6M, up 92%
  • Reiterated FY2026 guidance: GMS $9.9B-$10.1B, Adjusted EBITDA $400M-$420M
  • Net leverage improved to 4.0x from 4.5x at year-end 2025
  • Additional $100M debt reduction completed in May 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue growth of 12% YoY to $446.0M; net income swing of +$70.2M vs prior-year loss; Adjusted EBITDA growth of 50% to $72.1M

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAfree cash flownet leverage

Risk Factors

  • Seasonal variability in GMS and event timing could impact quarterly comparisons
  • Litigation reserves of $4.5M and indirect tax contingencies of $2.6M remain as ongoing overhangs
  • Stock-based compensation of $31.0M continues to weigh on GAAP profitability

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
Analyst Consensus
52% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-034632
Document: stub-20260513.htm0001628280-26-034632
Document: 0001628280-26-034632-index-headers.html0001628280-26-034632
Document: 0001628280-26-034632-index.html0001628280-26-034632
Document: 0001628280-26-034632.txt0001628280-26-034632
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-034632
18 reports for STUB
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +19.08%Aug 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for STUB — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.94awaiting T+20—$5.64 (−5.13%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.76awaiting T+20—$5.64 (−2.17%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.11 $5.73▼ −6.22%▼ −7.93%$5.64 (−7.77%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.38 $5.31▼ −16.77%▼ −16.40%$5.64 (−11.68%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$6.55 $5.30▲ +19.08%▲ +19.34%$5.64 (+13.97%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.55 $5.30▲ +19.08%▲ +18.60%$5.64 (+13.97%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.58 $5.39▼ −18.09%▼ −18.31%$5.64 (−14.36%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.68 $5.95▲ +10.93%▲ +10.40%$5.64 (+15.64%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$11.10 $8.95▼ −19.37%▼ −21.79%$5.64 (−49.23%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.53 $8.98▼ −33.63%▼ −34.96%$5.64 (−58.35%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 58m

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Report published May 13, 2026