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SC 13D ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

SSTI

SOUNDTHINKING, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed26d ago SEC0001140361-26-038126
Activist investor acquires 5%+ stake
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The 13D is a procedural filing confirming the acquirer's position and the support agreements that effectively lock up ~32.8% of shares for the deal. With the tender offer condition set at >50%, the path to close appears well-supported. Monitor for any competing bids or regulatory hurdles, but the deal structure and insider support suggest a high probability of completion in Q4 2026.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
SSTI ▼ -2.13% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.13% · α vs SPY -3.43% · entry $8.44 → $8.26
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 +0.08% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.30%
call -1.30% · α -2.04%
$8.33
settled 26d ago
T+5d
-2.13%
call -2.13% · α -3.43%
$8.26
settled 20d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Transom Capital Public Fund, LP, an affiliate of the private equity firm Transom Capital Group, filed a Schedule 13D disclosing a 1.16% stake in SoundThinking (SSTI). The filing is directly tied to the previously announced definitive agreement for Transom Capital affiliates to acquire SSTI in a take-private transaction at $8.00 per share plus a contingent value right (CVR) of up to $3.00 per share. The 13D confirms the activist/PE buyer's position and support agreements with key stockholders representing ~32.8% of shares, de-risking the deal's completion.

Key Financial Metrics

Stake
1.16%
Investor
Transom Capital Public Fund, LP

Key Facts

  • Transom Capital Public Fund, LP holds 153,423 shares (1.16% of outstanding) as of September 28, 2026.
  • The stake is held in connection with the September 28, 2026 Merger Agreement to acquire SSTI for $8.00/share plus up to $3.00 per CVR.
  • Support agreements cover ~32.8% of shares: Veradace Partners (15.8%) and Lauder Stockholders (17.0%) have agreed to tender and support the deal.
  • The group (including Lauder and Veradace) collectively beneficially owns ~34.0% of outstanding shares.
  • The tender offer is expected to close in Q4 2026, with a minimum condition of >50% tendered.
  • The 10-K for FY2025 shows SSTI is a public safety technology company (ShotSpotter, SafePointe) with recurring subscription revenue.

Financial Impact

Take-private at $8.00/share implies an equity value of ~$106M based on 13,240,512 shares outstanding. The CVR adds up to $3.00/share contingent on FY2027 revenue milestones for ShotSpotter and SafePointe.

share priceenterprise valuedilution

Risk Factors

  • Risk of competing bid or regulatory delay could disrupt the timeline or terms.
  • CVR value is contingent on FY2027 revenue milestones, creating uncertainty in total consideration.
  • If the tender offer fails to reach the >50% minimum condition, the deal could collapse, and the stock may revert to pre-announcement levels.

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 13D Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-038126
Document: 0001140361-26-038126-index-headers.html0001140361-26-038126
Document: 0001140361-26-038126-index.html0001140361-26-038126
Document: 0001140361-26-038126.txt0001140361-26-038126
11 reports for SSTI
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 6 best @ T+5▲ +1.58%Sep 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SSTI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
SC 14D-9
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.40awaiting T+5—$8.36 (−0.48%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
SC TO-T
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.40awaiting T+5—$8.36 (−0.48%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
SC 13D
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.32 $8.33▲ +0.12%▼ −0.30%$8.36 (+0.48%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.32 $8.33▲ +0.12%▼ −0.30%$8.36 (+0.48%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$8.44 $8.26▼ −2.13%▼ −3.43%$8.36 (−0.95%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
SC 13D
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.44 $8.26▼ −2.13%▼ −3.43%$8.36 (−0.95%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.21 $8.34▲ +1.58%▼ −0.36%$8.36 (+1.83%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.21 $8.34▲ +1.58%▼ −0.36%$8.36 (+1.83%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$6.71 $6.82▲ +1.64%▲ +0.73%$8.36 (+24.59%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.66 $6.87▲ +3.15%▲ +1.68%$8.36 (+25.53%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 52m)

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Report published Sep 30, 2026