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EFFECT ·Filed Jun 4, 2026

SSMR

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001869
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Expect pricing announcement within 1-2 days. Monitor for final IPO price and first-day trading performance. The 60.7% post-IPO control by Electrum Group limits governance risk but may reduce float and liquidity. Silver price trends and the Sunshine Mine technical report (S-K 1300 Initial Assessment) will be key valuation drivers post-listing.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SSMR ▲ +5.83% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +5.83% · α vs SPY +3.95% · entry $17.15 → $18.15
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-18.37%
call -18.37% · α -15.77%
$14.00
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-14.69%
call -14.69% · α -12.14%
$14.63
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-14.93%
call -14.93% · α -13.55%
$14.59
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+5.83%
call +5.83% · α +3.95%
$18.15
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co.'s S-1 registration statement for its initial public offering of 20,000,000 shares of common stock (plus 3,000,000 over-allotment option). The IPO is expected to price between $13.50 and $16.50 per share, with shares to list on the NYSE under ticker SSMR. This effectiveness clears the final regulatory hurdle for the company to begin trading, with pricing likely within 1-2 days.

Key Facts

  • IPO of 20,000,000 shares of common stock declared effective on June 3, 2026
  • Expected IPO price range: $13.50 to $16.50 per share
  • Underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to 3,000,000 additional shares for over-allotments
  • Shares to list on NYSE under ticker SSMR
  • Electrum Group LLC will control approximately 60.7% of voting power post-IPO (59.5% if over-allotment exercised in full)
  • Company is an emerging growth company and a controlled company under NYSE rules

Financial Impact

IPO proceeds of approximately $270M-$330M before expenses and underwriting discounts, based on 20M shares at $13.50-$16.50 per share

dilutioncashsharesOutstanding

Risk Factors

  • Silver price volatility could impact investor appetite and aftermarket performance
  • Controlled company structure with Electrum Group holding majority voting power limits minority shareholder influence
  • No prior public market for shares; initial price discovery may be volatile
  • Company is pre-revenue or early-stage; reliance on Sunshine Mine development

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001869
Document: 9999999995-26-001869-index.html9999999995-26-001869
Document: 9999999995-26-001869.txt9999999995-26-001869
16 reports for SSMR
Performance horizon
88% Hit rate @ T+5 7 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 8 best @ T+5▲ +16.69%Aug 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SSMR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$11.60 $13.09▲ +12.84%▲ +12.99%$13.50 (+16.38%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$16.15 $14.89▼ −7.80%▼ −6.78%$13.50 (−16.41%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$17.18 $15.35▼ −10.65%▼ −11.92%$13.50 (−21.42%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$15.94 $18.60▲ +16.69%▲ +16.89%$13.50 (−15.31%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$16.24 $17.45▲ +7.45%▲ +9.42%$13.50 (−16.87%)
Jul 28, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$13.97 $14.83▲ +6.16%▲ +3.89%$13.50 (−3.36%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.50 $15.03▼ −3.66%▼ −1.24%$13.50 (+6.90%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$14.50 $15.03▲ +3.66%▲ +1.24%$13.50 (−6.90%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$14.50 $15.03▲ +3.66%▲ +1.24%$13.50 (−6.90%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$14.50 $15.03▲ +3.66%▲ +1.24%$13.50 (−6.90%)
Showing 10 of 16

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Report published Jun 4, 2026