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EFFECT ·Filed May 15, 2026

SSM

Sono Group N.V.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001663
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for prospectus supplements indicating an actual takedown. Any announcement of a specific offering under this shelf will likely trigger a sharp sell-off given the extreme dilution relative to market cap. The stock may trade under persistent overhang pressure until the shelf expires or is withdrawn.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
SSM ▼ -29.91% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +29.91% · α vs SPY +34.43% · entry $3.90 → $2.73
Entry = T+0 close
May 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.29%
call -6.29% · α -6.35%
$4.14
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-2.70%
call +2.70% · α +3.66%
$3.79
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-1.93%
call +1.93% · α +4.04%
$3.82
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-29.91%
call +29.91% · α +34.43%
$2.73
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Sono Group N.V.'s $100M shelf registration (S-3) on Form 333-295804 became effective May 14, 2026. The company can now sell up to $100M in ordinary shares, preferred shares, debt securities, warrants, rights, or units at its discretion. For a micro-cap with a $5M market cap, this represents extreme potential dilution — the shelf size is 20x the current market cap — creating a persistent overhang that will likely pressure the stock until the shelf is either utilized or expires.

Key Facts

  • Shelf registration on Form S-3 became effective May 14, 2026 (SEC File No. 333-295804).
  • Maximum aggregate offering price of $100,000,000 across ordinary shares, preferred shares, debt securities, warrants, rights, and units.
  • Company market capitalization is approximately $5M — the shelf size is 20x current market cap.
  • Shelf can be drawn down at any time in one or more offerings without further shareholder approval.
  • Cross-filing context: S-3 was filed May 12, 2026, and became effective just 2 days later.

Financial Impact

Up to $100,000,000 in potential dilution — 20x current $5M market cap.

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution risk if the company sells shares under the shelf.
  • Persistent overhang depresses valuation even without a takedown.
  • Potential for toxic financing structures (e.g., ELOC, convertible notes) under the shelf.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (5 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001663
Document: 9999999995-26-001663-index.html9999999995-26-001663
Document: 9999999995-26-001663.txt9999999995-26-001663
8 reports for SSM
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +39.71%Sep 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SSM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.30 $1.17▲ +10.00%▲ +8.85%$1.11 (+14.62%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
SC 13D
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$2.21 $1.30▼ −41.40%▼ −42.70%$1.11 (−49.77%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$3.50 $2.11▲ +39.71%▲ +38.57%$1.11 (+68.29%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.76 $2.31▼ −51.52%▼ −51.61%$1.11 (−76.66%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$3.90 $3.79▲ +2.70%▲ +3.66%$1.11 (+71.50%)
Mar 19, 2026
31w ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$6.24 $6.01▼ −3.70%▼ −1.55%$1.11 (−82.21%)
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 6/10
$6.90 $6.37▼ −7.68%▼ −5.03%$1.11 (−83.91%)
Feb 24, 2026
34w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.05 $7.25▲ +2.84%▲ +3.94%$1.11 (−84.26%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (17h 29m)

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Report published May 15, 2026