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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 19, 2026

SQM

SQM
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive EPS miss despite strong revenue growth suggests severe margin compression or one-time costs. Traders should watch for the conference call for details on cost structure and pricing. The stock may gap down on the miss, but the revenue beat and record volumes could limit downside. Monitor lithium price trends and any guidance on Q3 margins.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
SQM ▼ -4.75% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +4.75% · α vs SPY +2.80% · entry $75.38 → $71.80
Next anchor: T+60d in 16d
Latest observation: T+46 +12.96% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 19, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.07%
call -4.07% · α -4.91%
$78.45
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+3.85%
call -3.85% · α -4.23%
$78.28
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-4.75%
call +4.75% · α +2.80%
$71.80
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 16d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

SQM reported Q2 2026 EPS of $0.31, an 84.8% miss vs consensus of $2.04, despite record lithium sales volumes and strong revenue growth. Revenue of $2.47B beat the $2.22B estimate, but the massive EPS miss signals sharply compressed margins or higher costs, likely due to lower realized lithium prices or increased expenses. The stock faces significant bearish pressure from the earnings miss, though the revenue beat and record volumes provide some offset.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.31
est $2.04 · -84.8%
Revenue
$2.5B
est $2.2B · +11.2% · +136.7% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Gross Margin
48.2%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 EPS of $0.31 missed consensus of $2.04 by 84.8%
  • Q2 2026 revenue of $2,468.4M beat consensus of $2.22B and grew 136.7% YoY
  • Record quarterly lithium sales volumes of over 84,000 metric tons LCE
  • H1 2026 gross margin improved to 48.2% from 26.7% a year ago
  • Net income for Q2 2026 was $660.0M, up 646.4% YoY
  • Global lithium demand expected to exceed 2.1 million metric tons in 2026

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $1.73 vs consensus ($0.31 actual vs $2.04 estimate) represents a 84.8% shortfall; revenue beat by ~$248M

epsrevenuegross marginlithium sales volumes

Risk Factors

  • EPS miss of 84.8% could trigger significant sell-off
  • Potential margin compression from lower realized lithium prices or higher costs
  • Record volumes may not offset pricing weakness if lithium prices remain under pressure

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Battery & Energy StorageMaterials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3347425
7 reports for SQM
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +8.21%Feb 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SQM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$78.28 $67.12▼ −14.26%▼ −14.48%$56.97 (−27.22%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$81.96 $69.53▼ −15.17%▼ −14.64%$56.97 (−30.49%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$75.38 $71.80▲ +4.75%▲ +2.80%$56.97 (+24.42%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$84.12 $73.19▼ −12.99%▼ −14.77%$56.97 (−32.28%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$83.94 $73.11▼ −12.90%▼ −11.00%$56.97 (−32.13%)
May 26, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$83.94 $73.11▼ −12.90%▼ −11.00%$56.97 (−32.13%)
Feb 27, 2026
34w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$74.78 $80.92▲ +8.21%▲ +16.15%$56.97 (−23.82%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (10h 59m)

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Report published Aug 19, 2026