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8-K ·Filed Oct 7, 2026

SPAI

Safe Pro Group Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed20d 8h ago SEC0001437749-26-032265
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The preliminary revenue pre-announcement signals a major inflection in government contract execution. Watch for the final Q3 2026 10-Q filing (due mid-November) to confirm margins, cash flow, and accounts receivable conversion. The company's ability to sustain this growth trajectory into Q4 and 2027 will determine whether this is a one-time catch-up or a durable revenue ramp.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
SPAI ▼ -22.51% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -22.51% · α vs SPY -21.52% · entry $4.71 → $3.65
Next anchor: T+20d in 8d
Latest observation: T+12 -34.02% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-9.45%
call -9.45% · α -9.02%
$4.27
settled 19d ago
T+5d
-22.51%
call -22.51% · α -21.52%
$3.65
settled 13d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 8d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Safe Pro Group issued preliminary Q3 2026 revenue guidance of >$2.5M, representing >2,300% YoY growth from $101K, driven by multiple U.S. government subcontract awards. The company also reported >$5M in aggregate awarded contract value YTD and maintains no long-term debt. This is a preliminary, unaudited pre-announcement — not a full earnings release — and the stock has historically underperformed following bullish filings on this ticker.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$2.5M
est $2.3M · +8.7% · +2300.0% YoY
Guidance
>$2.5M
initiated

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 preliminary revenue expected >$2.5M vs $101K in Q3 2025 (+2,300% YoY)
  • Nine-month 2026 revenue expected >$5.0M vs $379K in 9M 2025 (+1,200% YoY)
  • Q3 2026 revenue represents ~88% sequential growth vs Q2 2026
  • Company has >$5M in aggregate awarded contract value YTD from U.S. Army, Air Force, and State Department
  • Deliveries included a $1.3M subcontract for AI threat detection on autonomous UGVs and a $780K U.S. Army award
  • Company maintains significant cash reserves and no long-term debt
  • Preliminary, unaudited figures subject to change upon completion of quarterly closing procedures

Financial Impact

Q3 2026 revenue expected >$2.5M vs $101K prior year; 9M 2026 >$5.0M vs $379K prior year

revenue

Risk Factors

  • Preliminary, unaudited figures may be revised materially upon completion of quarterly review
  • Revenue concentration in U.S. government contracts creates dependence on budget cycles and procurement continuity
  • Company has limited operating history and history of losses; profitability timeline remains uncertain
  • No EPS or margin guidance provided; bottom-line impact of revenue growth is unknown

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-032265
Exhibit: ex_1023333.htm0001437749-26-032265
Document: 0001437749-26-032265-index-headers.html0001437749-26-032265
Document: 0001437749-26-032265-index.html0001437749-26-032265
Document: 0001437749-26-032265.txt0001437749-26-032265
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-032265
19 reports for SPAI
Performance horizon
56% Hit rate @ T+1 5 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 9 best @ T+20▲ +17.70%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SPAI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.71 $4.27▼ −9.45%▼ −9.02%$3.29 (−30.15%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.25 $5.13▼ −2.29%▼ −2.31%$3.29 (−37.33%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.51 $5.31▼ −3.63%▼ −3.84%$3.29 (−40.29%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.51 $5.31▼ −3.63%▼ −3.84%$3.29 (−40.29%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$6.17 $5.90▼ −4.38%▼ −3.90%$3.29 (−46.68%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$4.39 $4.57▲ +4.10%▲ +3.49%$3.29 (−25.06%)
Jun 23, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$4.08 $3.95▼ −3.19%▼ −3.33%$3.29 (−19.36%)
Jun 2, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.96 $5.99▲ +0.42%▲ +1.11%$3.29 (−44.80%)
Jun 2, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$5.96 $5.99▲ +0.42%▲ +1.11%$3.29 (−44.80%)
Jun 2, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.96 $5.99▲ +0.42%▲ +1.11%$3.29 (−44.80%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (16h 35m)

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Report published Oct 7, 2026