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8-K ·Filed Jun 22, 2026

SOC

Sable Offshore Corp.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001831481-26-000076
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The extension to July 24, 2026, provides a very short runway. The company must successfully close the up-to-$775M refinancing and additional unsecured capital markets solutions before that date. Failure to do so would trigger default and the P&A security obligation. Monitor for definitive documentation and closing of the New Senior Secured Term Loan.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
SOC ▼ -47.07% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -47.07% · α vs SPY -48.81% · entry $9.37 → $4.96
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.59%
call -4.59% · α -3.14%
$8.94
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-21.45%
call -21.45% · α -19.38%
$7.36
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-53.58%
call -53.58% · α -53.43%
$4.35
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-47.07%
call -47.07% · α -48.81%
$4.96
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Sable Offshore Corp. entered into a Third Amendment with Exxon Mobil Corporation to extend the maturity date of its Senior Secured Term Loan to July 24, 2026, and obtained a limited waiver of P&A Financial Security obligations under the Purchase and Sale Agreement until December 22, 2028. The company paid a $30.0 million amendment fee and will reduce its planned new secured financing to up to $775.0 million, while also pursuing additional unsecured capital markets solutions to refinance the existing loan.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
credit_facility

Key Facts

  • Maturity date of Senior Secured Term Loan extended to July 24, 2026 (from an earlier date).
  • Limited waiver of P&A Financial Security obligations under the PSA granted until December 22, 2028, contingent on no Event of Default and successful Payoff Financing.
  • Sable paid Exxon a $30.0 million amendment fee on June 22, 2026.
  • Minimum liquidity covenant of $25.0 million suspended and waived until the amended Maturity Date.
  • Company intends to reduce the proposed New Senior Secured Term Loan to up to $775.0 million.
  • Company intends to pursue incremental unsecured capital markets solutions.
  • JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. expected to be administrative agent under the New Senior Secured Term Loan.
  • Proceeds from new financing expected to repay the Existing Senior Secured Term Loan and pay transaction fees.

Financial Impact

Sable paid a $30.0 million amendment fee. The new secured loan is planned at up to $775.0 million. The minimum liquidity covenant of $25.0 million was waived.

debtliquiditycash

Risk Factors

  • Refinancing risk: The New Senior Secured Term Loan is not yet closed and is subject to market conditions and definitive documentation.
  • Short maturity runway: The extended maturity is only until July 24, 2026, leaving approximately one month to complete refinancing.
  • The limited waiver of P&A Financial Security lapses if the Payoff Financing is not closed before the amended Maturity Date.
  • The $30.0 million amendment fee is a cash cost that reduces liquidity.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001831481-26-000076
Document: socc-20260622.htm0001831481-26-000076
Document: a991ex-em3rdamendmentjune2.htm0001831481-26-000076
Document: 0001831481-26-000076-index-headers.html0001831481-26-000076
Document: 0001831481-26-000076-index.html0001831481-26-000076
Document: 0001831481-26-000076.txt0001831481-26-000076
14 reports for SOC
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+60 6 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +66.21%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SOC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.19awaiting T+60—$3.07 (−3.92%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.72awaiting T+60—$3.07 (−17.61%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.25 $3.97▲ +6.59%▲ +9.60%$3.07 (+27.88%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.40 $3.97▲ +9.77%▲ +12.73%$3.07 (+30.34%)
Jun 30, 2026
17w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$3.08 $4.15▼ −34.74%▼ −31.18%$3.07 (+0.49%)
Jun 30, 2026
17w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.08 $4.15▼ −34.74%▼ −31.18%$3.07 (+0.49%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$9.37 $4.96▼ −47.07%▼ −48.81%$3.07 (−67.29%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$10.25 $5.17▲ +49.56%▲ +52.71%$3.07 (+70.10%)
Jun 16, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$9.99 $4.92▼ −50.75%▼ −51.75%$3.07 (−69.32%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.83 $4.82▲ +62.43%▲ +66.26%$3.07 (+76.11%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 22, 2026