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8-K ·Filed Oct 9, 2026

SOAR

Volato Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed17d 11h ago SEC0001493152-26-046595
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The ELOC provides Volato with a flexible capital source but at the cost of severe potential dilution. The 56.5 million conversion shares from the preferred stock alone represent a massive overhang. Monitor the stockholder meeting for approval of the charter amendment and preferred conversion — if approved, the dilution becomes certain. The company's ability to draw down the ELOC at its discretion means share price could face persistent downward pressure as the market prices in future issuance risk.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
SOAR ▼ -5.38% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.38% · α vs SPY +3.89% · entry $0.2621 → $0.2480
Next anchor: T+20d in 10d
Latest observation: T+9 +16.43% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.52%
call +6.52% · α +6.51%
$0.2450
settled 15d ago
T+5d
-5.38%
call +5.38% · α +3.89%
$0.2480
settled 11d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 10d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Volato Group entered into an equity line of credit (ELOC) with DFU, LLC, allowing the company to sell up to $1,000,000,000 of newly issued common stock at its discretion over 36 months. As upfront consideration, Volato issued 3,646,974 commitment shares and 13,058 shares of Series B convertible preferred stock convertible into 56,528,082 common shares (subject to stockholder approval and charter amendment). The ELOC provides a potential capital source but creates massive future dilution risk, with the preferred stock alone representing a ~60x potential increase in shares outstanding relative to the commitment shares.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$1.0B

Key Facts

  • Volato entered an ELOC with DFU, LLC to sell up to $1,000,000,000 of common stock over 36 months at the company's discretion.
  • As consideration, Volato issued 3,646,974 commitment shares and 13,058 shares of Series B convertible preferred stock (stated value $1,187.0118/share) convertible into 56,528,082 common shares at $0.2742/share.
  • Conversion of the preferred stock is contingent on stockholder approval and a charter amendment to authorize sufficient common shares.
  • The ELOC has a floor price of $0.21 per share and a 4.99% beneficial ownership limitation on the investor.
  • Primary puts are capped at $2,000,000 per notice; combined primary and secondary puts capped at $6,000,000 per day.
  • The company can terminate the ELOC on one trading day's notice with no penalty.
  • The Series B preferred stock ranks senior to common stock and junior to existing Series A and Series A-1 preferred stock.

Financial Impact

Up to $1,000,000,000 in potential equity issuance over 36 months; immediate issuance of 3,646,974 commitment shares plus 56,528,082 potential conversion shares from preferred stock (subject to approvals).

dilutionshare countcapital structure

Risk Factors

  • Massive potential dilution from up to $1B in new shares and 56.5M conversion shares from preferred stock.
  • ELOC structure (variable pricing based on market price) creates incentive for the company to draw when stock is weak, exacerbating downside.
  • Dependence on stockholder approval and NYSE American listing approval for preferred conversion — failure could limit capital access.
  • The floor price of $0.21 may not provide adequate downside protection if fundamentals deteriorate further.

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-046595
Exhibit: ex3-1.htm0001493152-26-046595
Exhibit: ex10-2.htm0001493152-26-046595
Document: form8-k.htm0001493152-26-046595
Document: 0001493152-26-046595-index-headers.html0001493152-26-046595
Document: 0001493152-26-046595-index.html0001493152-26-046595
Document: 0001493152-26-046595.txt0001493152-26-046595
12 reports for SOAR
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate @ T+1 6 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +67.74%Aug 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SOAR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2583 $0.2488▼ −3.68%▼ −3.16%$0.2220 (−14.05%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.2450 $0.2385▼ −2.65%▼ −1.57%$0.2220 (−9.39%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2621 $0.2450▲ +6.52%▲ +6.51%$0.2220 (+15.30%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.3188 $0.3900▲ +22.33%▲ +22.52%$0.2220 (−30.36%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2094 $0.2101▲ +0.33%▲ +0.80%$0.2220 (+6.02%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.2325 $0.2507▲ +7.83%▲ +8.52%$0.2220 (−4.52%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1639 $0.1647▲ +0.49%▲ +0.96%$0.2220 (+35.45%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1639 $0.1647▼ −0.49%▼ −0.96%$0.2220 (−35.45%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1725 $0.1639▲ +4.99%▲ +5.86%$0.2220 (−28.70%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1794 $0.1622▲ +9.59%▲ +10.37%$0.2220 (−23.75%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Oct 9, 2026