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DEFA14A8-K ·Filed Jul 15, 2026

SNTI

Senti Biosciences Holdings, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001628280-26-048249
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The deal effectively removes SNTI's most advanced clinical asset (SENTI-202) from the public company, replacing it with highly contingent CVRs. The surviving public entity has very limited cash and early-stage programs only. Monitor stockholder vote and potential delisting risk; CVR milestone probabilities are highly uncertain. The $6M additional funding provides only a short runway.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SNTI ▼ -44.85% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -44.85% · α vs SPY -47.38% · entry $0.5833 → $0.3217
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-21.19%
call -21.19% · α -20.65%
$0.4597
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-24.48%
call -24.48% · α -23.50%
$0.4405
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-35.68%
call -35.68% · α -38.02%
$0.3752
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-44.85%
call -44.85% · α -47.38%
$0.3217
settled 20d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Senti Biosciences (SNTI) entered into a merger agreement with a Celadon affiliate to spin off its lead asset SENTI-202 into a private company, leaving SNTI as a public shell focused on early-stage Regulator Dial programs. SNTI stockholders will receive contingent value rights (CVRs) worth up to $60M in milestone payments tied to SENTI-202's development and commercialization. The company has only ~$6.5M cash and expects to add $6M from Celadon, funding operations only into Q4 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$60.0M
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Merger with Celadon affiliate: Merger Sub merges into Midco, with Midco becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Parent.
  • SNTI stockholders receive one CVR per share, entitling them to pro-rata shares of up to $60M in milestone payments: $10M on BLA filing, $20M on FDA approval, $30M on cumulative net sales >$200M for SENTI-202.
  • CVRs expire on the 7th anniversary of closing and are non-transferable except in limited circumstances.
  • SNTI retains Regulator Dial platform, Rett syndrome program, and TIL program; all other assets (including SENTI-202) transfer to NewCo.
  • Preliminary cash balance as of June 30, 2026: $6.5M; additional $6M funding from Celadon via convertible notes (subject to ATM offset).
  • Transaction requires stockholder approval (majority of outstanding shares plus majority of minority vote). Outside date: December 31, 2026.
  • Celadon already owns 54.6% of SNTI (pro forma after conversion of Initial Notes).
  • All outstanding stock options and RSUs fully vest immediately prior to closing.

Financial Impact

Up to $60 million in contingent payments to SNTI stockholders over seven years, but no guaranteed cash consideration. SNTI's remaining cash of ~$6.5M plus $6M additional funding provides limited runway to Q4 2026.

cashdilutioncontingent liabilities

Risk Factors

  • CVR milestones may never be achieved, resulting in zero cash consideration for SNTI stockholders.
  • SNTI's remaining cash is only sufficient to fund operations into Q4 2026; additional capital likely needed.
  • Potential delisting from Nasdaq if listing requirements not met post-merger.
  • Transaction is with a related party (Celadon, already controlling stockholder), raising governance concerns.
  • Early-stage Regulator Dial programs face high clinical and regulatory risk.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 12 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFA14A Filing (SNTI) — Batch item 10001628280-26-048249
Exhibit: exhibit101-contingentvalue.htm0001628280-26-048248
Exhibit: exhibit992-riskfactors.htm0001628280-26-048249
Exhibit: exhibit991-pressrelease.htm0001628280-26-048248
Document: snti2026entryintomerger202.htm0001628280-26-048249
Document: 0001628280-26-048249-index-headers.html0001628280-26-048249
Document: 0001628280-26-048249-index.html0001628280-26-048249
Document: 0001628280-26-048249.txt0001628280-26-048249
8-K Filing (SNTI) — Batch item 90001628280-26-048248
DEFA14A Filing (SNTI) — Batch item 100001628280-26-048249
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-048249
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-048249
21 reports for SNTI
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate @ T+5 8 of 14 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 14 best @ T+60▲ +69.22%Jun 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SNTI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1926awaiting T+5—$0.1750 (−9.14%)
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1720awaiting T+5—$0.1750 (−1.74%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.2408 $0.2175▼ −9.68%▼ −10.13%$0.1750 (−27.33%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.2408 $0.2175▲ +9.68%▲ +10.13%$0.1750 (+27.33%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3293 $0.3223▲ +2.13%▲ +1.90%$0.1750 (+46.86%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
DEFM14A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3293 $0.3223▲ +2.13%▲ +1.90%$0.1750 (+46.86%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3156 $0.3075▲ +2.57%▲ +1.38%$0.1750 (+44.55%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.3060 $0.3200▼ −4.58%▼ −4.80%$0.1750 (+42.81%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.3326 $0.3021▼ −9.17%▼ −7.96%$0.1750 (−47.38%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3326 $0.3021▲ +9.17%▲ +7.96%$0.1750 (+47.38%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (12h 2m)

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Report published Jul 15, 2026