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8-K ·Filed Aug 20, 2026

SNTI

Senti Biosciences Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-058258
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The $4.0M note issuance provides a cash runway extension but increases dilution risk for a $14M market cap company. Watch for the definitive proxy statement detailing the potential Celadon merger and CVR terms; the $60.0M upside is contingent on SENTI-202 milestones, which are binary and distant. Monitor cash burn rate and any further draws under the securities purchase agreement.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
SNTI ▼ -20.23% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +20.23% · α vs SPY +19.70% · entry $0.3886 → $0.3100
Next anchor: T+60d in 18d
Latest observation: T+44 -1.22% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.73%
call +2.73% · α +2.43%
$0.3780
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-2.99%
call +2.99% · α +3.46%
$0.3770
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-20.23%
call +20.23% · α +19.70%
$0.3100
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 18d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Senti Biosciences issued an additional $4.0M in Senior Secured Convertible Notes to Celadon Partners under a previously announced securities purchase agreement. The filing also discloses a potential merger transaction where a Celadon affiliate would merge into a subsidiary, with stockholders receiving a contingent value right worth up to $60.0M tied to SENTI-202 milestones. The $4.0M debt draw provides near-term cash but increases leverage and potential dilution for a micro-cap biotech with a $14M market cap.

Key Facts

  • Issued $4.0M in Senior Secured Convertible Notes to Celadon Partners SPV 24 on August 14, 2026.
  • The notes are part of a Securities Purchase Agreement dated April 27, 2026.
  • A potential transaction could see a Celadon affiliate merge into Senti Holdings, with stockholders receiving a contingent value right of up to $60.0M based on SENTI-202 milestones.
  • Company has a $14M market cap, making the $4.0M debt issuance material relative to equity value.

Financial Impact

$4.0M in new senior secured convertible debt issued; potential $60.0M contingent value right for stockholders tied to SENTI-202 milestones.

debtdilutioncash

Risk Factors

  • Dilution from conversion of $4.0M in convertible notes at a micro-cap valuation.
  • Execution risk on SENTI-202 regulatory and sales milestones for the $60.0M CVR.
  • Potential shareholder dilution from additional note issuances beyond the exchange cap, requiring a shareholder vote.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-058258
Document: 0001628280-26-058258-index-headers.html0001628280-26-058258
Document: 0001628280-26-058258-index.html0001628280-26-058258
Document: 0001628280-26-058258.txt0001628280-26-058258
19 reports for SNTI
Performance horizon
54% Hit rate @ T+5 7 of 13 directional calls Went positive at some point 10 of 13 best @ T+60▲ +69.22%Jun 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SNTI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.2408 $0.2175▼ −9.68%▼ −10.13%$0.1778 (−26.16%)
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.2408 $0.2175▲ +9.68%▲ +10.13%$0.1778 (+26.16%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3293 $0.3223▲ +2.13%▲ +1.90%$0.1778 (+46.01%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
DEFM14A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3293 $0.3223▲ +2.13%▲ +1.90%$0.1778 (+46.01%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3156 $0.3075▲ +2.57%▲ +1.38%$0.1778 (+43.66%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.3060 $0.3200▼ −4.58%▼ −4.80%$0.1778 (+41.90%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.3326 $0.3021▼ −9.17%▼ −7.96%$0.1778 (−46.54%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3326 $0.3021▲ +9.17%▲ +7.96%$0.1778 (+46.54%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3886 $0.3770▲ +2.99%▲ +3.46%$0.1778 (+54.25%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4597 $0.4266▲ +7.20%▲ +5.53%$0.1778 (+61.32%)
Showing 10 of 19

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Report published Aug 20, 2026