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8-K ·Filed Oct 20, 2026

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed7d 7h ago SEC0001375365-26-000025
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive revenue and margin beat versus prior guidance signals accelerating AI infrastructure demand and improving profitability. The scheduled November 3 earnings call will provide full financial details including EPS, cash flow, and balance sheet — watch for any commentary on sustainability of this growth trajectory and margin expansion.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
SMCI ▼ -5.20% at T+1d
LONG call ✗ call lost -5.20% · α vs SPY -4.02% · entry $35.57 → $33.72
Next anchor: T+5d due 16h ago
Latest observation: T+2 +2.71% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-5.20%
call -5.20% · α -4.02%
$33.72
settled 7d ago
T+5d
Pending
due 16h ago
T+20d
Pending
in 20d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Super Micro issued a preliminary business update for Q1 FY2027 (Sep 2026), estimating revenue of $18.5B-$19.5B, massively above prior guidance of $14.5B-$15.5B, and gross margins of 12.0%-12.5% vs guided 10.4%-10.8%, driven by surging AI platform demand. This pre-announcement signals a dramatic acceleration from the prior quarter's $10.2B revenue and 9.9% GAAP gross margin, with the midpoint of the new revenue range ($19B) exceeding the prior quarter's revenue by ~86%.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$18.5B-$19.5B
raised

Key Facts

  • Q1 FY2027 preliminary revenue estimated at $18.5B-$19.5B vs prior guidance of $14.5B-$15.5B
  • Gross margins estimated at 12.0%-12.5% vs prior guidance of 10.4%-10.8%
  • Revenue midpoint of ~$19B represents ~86% sequential growth from Q3 FY2026's $10.2B
  • Gross margin midpoint of 12.25% is ~240bps above the prior quarter's 9.9% GAAP gross margin
  • Preliminary results driven by increased demand for AI platforms and favorable customer/product mix
  • Full earnings call scheduled for November 3, 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue guidance raised by ~$4B at midpoint ($19B vs $15B prior guidance); gross margin guidance raised by ~180bps (12.25% vs 10.6% prior midpoint)

revenuegross margin

Risk Factors

  • Preliminary results are unaudited and subject to revision upon completion of financial closing procedures
  • Revenue concentration risk as the company targets larger customers with potentially lower margins
  • Potential impact from ongoing independent review of export-control-related transactions

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001375365-26-000025
Document: smcifirstquarterfy2027busi.htm0001375365-26-000025
Document: 0001375365-26-000025-index-headers.html0001375365-26-000025
Document: 0001375365-26-000025-index.html0001375365-26-000025
Document: 0001375365-26-000025.txt0001375365-26-000025
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001375365-26-000025
17 reports for SMCI
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +16.56%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SMCI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.94awaiting T+20—$35.09 (+6.53%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$33.72awaiting T+20—$35.09 (+4.06%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$35.57awaiting T+20—$35.09 (−1.35%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$35.09awaiting T+20—$35.09 (+0.00%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.86awaiting T+20—$35.09 (−16.17%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$42.77awaiting T+20—$35.09 (−17.96%)
Sep 8, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$38.93 $44.94▼ −15.44%▼ −13.24%$35.09 (+9.86%)
Jun 15, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.85 $27.66▲ +10.34%▲ +9.59%$35.09 (−13.74%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.85 $27.66▲ +10.34%▲ +9.59%$35.09 (−13.74%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.46 $28.31▲ +7.06%▲ +8.84%$35.09 (−15.20%)
Showing 10 of 17

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Report published Oct 20, 2026