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EFFECT ·Filed May 14, 2026

SMBK

SMARTFINANCIAL INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001621
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor for any subsequent prospectus supplement or 8-K announcing a takedown, which would crystallize dilution. The shelf provides flexibility but no immediate pressure — watch for insider selling patterns or accelerated filings that signal an imminent offering.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
SMBK ▲ +25.69% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +25.69% · α vs SPY +22.10% · entry $40.79 → $51.27
Entry = T+0 close
May 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.81%
call -1.81% · α -0.59%
$40.05
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+2.01%
call +2.01% · α +2.73%
$41.61
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+11.45%
call +11.45% · α +12.31%
$45.46
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+25.69%
call +25.69% · α +22.10%
$51.27
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

SmartFinancial's $100M universal shelf registration (S-3) became effective on May 13, 2026, enabling the company to offer common stock, preferred stock, debt securities, and other instruments at its discretion. This creates potential dilution overhang of ~14% of current market cap, though no immediate offering has been announced.

Key Facts

  • Shelf registration (File No. 333-295492) declared effective May 13, 2026
  • Allows offering of common stock, preferred stock, debt securities, and other instruments
  • Maximum aggregate offering amount is $100M, approximately 14% of current $691M market cap
  • No concurrent announcement of an immediate takedown or pricing
  • Follows a flat Q1 2026 earnings report and provides capital-raising flexibility

Financial Impact

Up to $100M in potential capital raise, representing ~14% dilution of current market cap if fully taken down in common equity

dilutioncapital structuredebt capacity

Risk Factors

  • Potential dilution if common stock is issued under the shelf
  • Increased leverage if debt securities are issued
  • Market perception of capital need could weigh on the stock

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
National Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
55% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001621
Document: 9999999995-26-001621-index.html9999999995-26-001621
Document: 9999999995-26-001621.txt9999999995-26-001621
10 reports for SMBK
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +16.16%Jun 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SMBK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$49.60awaiting T+5—$48.81 (−1.59%)
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$49.60awaiting T+5—$48.81 (−1.59%)
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$50.12 $49.54▼ −1.16%▼ −1.18%$48.81 (−2.61%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$48.60 $51.29▲ +5.54%▲ +6.76%$48.81 (+0.43%)
Jun 16, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$44.38 $45.74▲ +3.06%▲ +5.30%$48.81 (+9.98%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.84 $44.58▼ −0.58%▼ −1.01%$48.81 (+8.85%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$40.79 $41.61▲ +2.01%▲ +2.73%$48.81 (+19.66%)
May 1, 2026
25w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$41.29 $41.22▼ −0.17%▼ −3.11%$48.81 (+18.21%)
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.76 $42.17▼ −1.38%▼ −2.29%$48.81 (+14.15%)
Apr 7, 2026
29w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$41.96 $41.79▼ −0.41%▼ −3.92%$48.81 (+16.33%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published May 14, 2026