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8-K ·Filed Oct 14, 2026

SM

SM Energy Co
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed12d 4h ago SEC0000893538-26-000137
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor the full Q3 2026 earnings release for actual production volumes, capital expenditures, and updated guidance. The $207 million derivative settlement loss is a known cash outflow, but the impact on adjusted net income will depend on mark-to-market changes in unsettled positions.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
SM ▲ +2.40% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +2.40% · α vs SPY +3.41% · entry $37.52 → $38.42
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Latest observation: T+6 +0.62% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.28%
call +5.28% · α +6.38%
$39.50
settled 12d ago
T+5d
+2.40%
call +2.40% · α +3.41%
$38.42
settled 6d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 15d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

SM Energy Co filed an 8-K with preliminary Q3 2026 earnings considerations, disclosing average realized oil prices of $85.76/bbl and an anticipated net derivative settlement loss of $207 million. The filing is a preliminary update, not a full earnings release, and lacks complete financial results or guidance changes.

Key Facts

  • Average realized oil price for Q3 2026: $85.76 per barrel
  • Average realized gas price for Q3 2026: $2.48 per Mcf
  • Average realized NGL price for Q3 2026: $29.40 per barrel
  • Anticipated net derivative settlement loss of $207 million for Q3 2026
  • Information is preliminary and subject to completion of financial reporting process

Financial Impact

Anticipated $207 million net derivative settlement loss; realized oil price of $85.76/bbl vs prior quarter's $73.69/bbl (before hedges)

realized pricesderivative settlement loss

Risk Factors

  • Derivative settlement loss of $207 million may pressure cash flow
  • Preliminary nature of estimates — actual results may differ materially
  • No production or capital expenditure data provided in this filing

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000893538-26-000137
Document: 0000893538-26-000137-index-headers.html0000893538-26-000137
Document: 0000893538-26-000137-index.html0000893538-26-000137
Document: 0000893538-26-000137.txt0000893538-26-000137
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000893538-26-000137
12 reports for SM
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for SM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$37.52awaiting T+60—$40.11 (+6.90%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$35.10awaiting T+60—$40.11 (+14.27%)
Jul 8, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$28.34 $35.24▲ +24.35%▲ +22.71%$40.11 (+41.53%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.79 $36.14▲ +13.68%▲ +10.96%$40.11 (+26.17%)
May 12, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.35 $28.70▼ −8.45%▼ −12.84%$40.11 (+27.94%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$30.47 $29.65▼ −2.69%▼ −5.76%$40.11 (+31.64%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.97 $29.72▲ +14.44%▲ +8.30%$40.11 (+54.45%)
Apr 8, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.81 $26.85▼ −6.80%▼ −17.26%$40.11 (+39.22%)
Apr 2, 2026
29w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$30.62 $26.10▼ −14.76%▼ −28.92%$40.11 (+30.99%)
Mar 18, 2026
31w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.27 $31.28▲ +14.70%▲ +3.18%$40.11 (+47.08%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 40m)

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Report published Oct 14, 2026