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8-K ·Filed Jun 9, 2026

SJM

J M SMUCKER Co
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0000091419-26-000047
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The Q4 beat is positive but the FY2027 revenue decline guidance is a significant headwind. Watch for commentary on volume trends and tariff impacts during the Q&A. The coffee segment margin compression (-280bps) despite 12% sales growth bears monitoring as it suggests cost inflation is outpacing pricing power.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
SJM ▲ +16.95% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +16.95% · α vs SPY +13.14% · entry $112.39 → $131.44
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.15%
call +4.15% · α +5.72%
$117.05
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+3.16%
call +3.16% · α +0.75%
$115.94
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+0.76%
call +0.76% · α -0.69%
$113.24
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+16.95%
call +16.95% · α +13.14%
$131.44
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

J.M. Smucker reported fiscal Q4 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.77, a 20% YoY increase, on net sales of $2.27B (+6% YoY). The company issued a mixed FY2027 outlook: net sales expected to decline 3-4% but adjusted EPS guided to $9.75-$10.25, representing 7-12% growth. The strong Q4 beat is offset by a concerning top-line guidance decline.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.77
est $2.64 · +4.9%
Revenue
$2.3B
est $2.3B · +0.4% · +6.0% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
decline 3.0% to 4.0% vs prior year
initiated
Free Cash Flow
$483.9M
Gross Margin
38%

Key Facts

  • Q4 2026 adjusted EPS $2.77 vs $2.31 YoY, a 20% increase
  • Q4 net sales $2.27B, up 6% YoY (6% ex-divestitures/FX)
  • FY2027 guidance: net sales decline 3-4%, adjusted EPS $9.75-$10.25 (7-12% growth)
  • FY2026 adjusted EPS $9.15, down 10% YoY; net sales $9.05B, up 4%
  • Q4 operating cash flow $579.2M vs $393.9M YoY; free cash flow $483.9M vs $298.9M
  • Total debt repayment for FY2026 was $720.0M
  • U.S. Retail Coffee segment profit up only 1% despite 12% sales growth; margins compressed 280bps

Financial Impact

Q4 adjusted EPS beat consensus by ~5% ($2.77 vs $2.64 est); FY2027 EPS guidance midpoint $10.00 implies 9% YoY growth despite 3.5% top-line decline

revenueepsoperating cash flowfree cash flowdebt

Risk Factors

  • FY2027 net sales expected to decline 3-4%, driven by lower net price realization and volume/mix decline
  • Coffee segment margins compressed 280bps YoY despite 12% sales growth, indicating cost inflation
  • Sweet Baked Snacks segment sales declined 5% (4% ex-divestitures) with 12% volume decline
  • Guidance does not assume any impacts from new or changes to existing tariffs

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies
Analyst Consensus
56% bullish (25 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000091419-26-000047
Document: sjm-20260609.htm0000091419-26-000047
Document: 0000091419-26-000047-index-headers.html0000091419-26-000047
Document: 0000091419-26-000047-index.html0000091419-26-000047
Document: 0000091419-26-000047.txt0000091419-26-000047
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000091419-26-000047
11 reports for SJM
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +3.75%Jul 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SJM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$127.07 $128.64▲ +1.24%▲ +1.38%$127.95 (+0.69%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$128.51 $121.14▼ −5.74%▼ −4.59%$127.95 (−0.44%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$130.90 $131.44▲ +0.41%▲ +0.53%$127.95 (−2.25%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$119.21 $118.79▼ −0.35%▼ −0.70%$127.95 (+7.33%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$112.50 $118.32▲ +5.17%▲ +5.60%$127.95 (+13.73%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$116.22 $111.51▼ −4.05%▼ −5.42%$127.95 (+10.10%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$114.86 $113.24▲ +1.41%▲ +1.67%$127.95 (−11.40%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$114.86 $113.24▼ −1.41%▼ −1.67%$127.95 (+11.40%)
Jun 9, 2026
20w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$112.39 $115.94▲ +3.16%▲ +0.75%$127.95 (+13.84%)
Mar 31, 2026
30w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$95.49 $92.47▼ −3.16%▼ −6.93%$127.95 (+33.99%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 4h 26m

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Report published Jun 9, 2026