SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Sep 24, 2026

SF

STIFEL FINANCIAL CORP
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-401093
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor Q3 earnings for the actual magnitude of the Institutional Group revenue decline and whether Global Wealth Management growth fully offsets it. The divergence between record wealth management metrics and a declining institutional business creates a mixed near-term outlook.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
SF ▼ -5.22% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -5.22% · α vs SPY -3.74% · entry $70.35 → $66.68
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 24, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.09%
call +0.09% · α +0.83%
$70.41
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-0.10%
call -0.10% · α +0.12%
$70.28
settled 26d ago
T+20d
-5.22%
call -5.22% · α -3.74%
$66.68
settled 5d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Stifel reported record total client assets ($587.6B) and fee-based client assets ($244.4B) as of August 31, 2026, up 10% and 14% YoY respectively. Treasury deposits surged 61% YoY to $12.3B. However, management guided that Q3 firm-wide net revenue will be essentially flat YoY as strong Global Wealth Management growth offsets a roughly 15% decline in Institutional Group revenue from lower transactional and investment banking revenue.

Key Facts

  • Total client assets of $587.6B as of 8/31/2026, up 10% YoY and 2% MoM
  • Fee-based client assets of $244.4B, up 14% YoY and 2% MoM
  • Treasury deposits of $12.3B, up 61% YoY and 7% MoM
  • Client money market and insured product balances of $23.4B, down 8% YoY and 3% MoM
  • Bank loans of $25.6B, up 18% YoY and flat MoM
  • Q3 firm-wide net revenue expected to be essentially flat YoY
  • Institutional Group revenue expected to decline roughly 15% in Q3, driven by lower transactional and modestly lower investment banking revenue
  • Global Wealth Management segment growth expected to offset the Institutional Group decline

Financial Impact

Record client assets and strong deposit growth are positive, but Q3 revenue guidance of essentially flat YoY with a 15% decline in Institutional Group revenue tempers the outlook.

total client assetsfee-based client assetstreasury depositsnet revenueInstitutional Group revenue

Risk Factors

  • Institutional Group revenue decline of ~15% in Q3 could pressure overall earnings
  • Client money market and insured product balances continue to decline (down 8% YoY)
  • Flat Q3 revenue guidance suggests limited near-term earnings growth catalyst

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-401093
Document: d52523dex991.htm0001193125-26-401093
Document: 0001193125-26-401093-index-headers.html0001193125-26-401093
Document: 0001193125-26-401093-index.html0001193125-26-401093
Document: 0001193125-26-401093.txt0001193125-26-401093
10 reports for SF
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +14.85%Jun 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$66.41awaiting T+5—$66.68 (−0.41%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$68.69 $67.85▼ −1.22%▼ −0.21%$66.68 (−2.93%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$70.35 $70.28▼ −0.10%▲ +0.12%$66.68 (−5.22%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
13F-HR
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$84.94 $82.72▼ −2.61%▼ −2.17%$66.68 (−21.50%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$79.31 $81.92▲ +3.29%▲ +5.69%$66.68 (−15.92%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$78.69 $79.56▲ +1.11%▲ +2.78%$66.68 (−15.26%)
Jun 25, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$69.27 $73.17▲ +5.63%▲ +3.46%$66.68 (−3.74%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$77.37 $77.39▲ +0.03%▼ −0.03%$66.68 (−13.82%)
Apr 16, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$82.32awaiting T+5—$66.68 (−19.00%)
Feb 26, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$73.71 $73.15▼ −0.76%▲ +1.22%$66.68 (−9.54%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 19m)

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Report published Sep 24, 2026