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8-K ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

SDST

Stardust Power Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001493152-26-036102
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The LOI provides commercial validation but is non-binding and lacks concrete terms. Near-term stock reaction likely muted given the company's $7M market cap and going concern risk. Traders should watch for definitive agreement negotiations, refinery financing/construction milestones, and potential Nasdaq delisting risk. The company is pre-revenue and needs substantial capital to execute its business plan.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
SDST ▼ -59.97% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -59.97% · α vs SPY -59.36% · entry $0.6307 → $0.2525
Next anchor: T+60d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+30 -10.43% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.14%
call +0.14% · α +0.30%
$0.6316
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+6.83%
call +6.83% · α +6.48%
$0.6738
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-59.97%
call -59.97% · α -59.36%
$0.2525
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
tomorrow

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Stardust Power announced a non-binding Letter of Intent with battery technology company C4V for potential supply of up to 20,000 MT of battery-grade lithium carbonate by 2030 from its planned Muskogee, Oklahoma refinery. The agreement is preliminary and subject to negotiation of definitive terms, with no binding commitment or pricing established.

Key Facts

  • Non-binding Letter of Intent with Charge CCCV LLC (C4V) for supply of battery-grade lithium carbonate
  • C4V provided preliminary demand forecast: 3,000 MT in 2028, 10,000 MT in 2029, up to 20,000 MT by 2030
  • Agreement is non-binding; final volumes, pricing, and delivery schedules subject to negotiation of definitive agreement
  • Refinery in Muskogee, Oklahoma expected to have production capacity of up to 50,000 metric tons per annum
  • Follows a previously disclosed non-binding letter of agreement with a global trading house for up to 25,000 MT per year for 10 years
  • Press release references substantial doubt about going concern and need for additional financing

Financial Impact

Non-binding LOI with potential offtake up to 20,000 MT by 2030; no pricing or firm commitments disclosed. Combined with prior LOI (25,000 MT/yr for 10 years), company claims a pipeline of 'up to billions of dollars' assuming current market prices and definitive agreements.

revenue

Risk Factors

  • Non-binding agreement — no guarantee of definitive deal or actual revenue
  • Company has substantial doubt about ability to continue as going concern per forward-looking statements
  • Refinery is not yet built; construction, permitting, and financing risks
  • Potential Nasdaq delisting risk noted in the filing
  • Lithium price volatility could impact economics of any future deal

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Primary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-036102
Exhibit: ex99-1.htm0001493152-26-036102
Document: 0001493152-26-036102-index-headers.html0001493152-26-036102
Document: 0001493152-26-036102-index.html0001493152-26-036102
Document: 0001493152-26-036102.txt0001493152-26-036102
20 reports for SDST
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 8 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 11 best @ T+20▲ +84.48%Sep 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SDST — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$0.0200awaiting T+20—$0.006000 (+70.00%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.0916awaiting T+20—$0.006000 (+93.45%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.0916awaiting T+20—$0.006000 (+93.45%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1160 $0.0180▲ +84.48%▲ +85.17%$0.006000 (+94.83%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.1160 $0.0180▲ +84.48%▲ +85.17%$0.006000 (+94.83%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1250 $0.0298▲ +76.16%▲ +76.36%$0.006000 (+95.20%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.6724 $0.1360▲ +79.77%▲ +77.78%$0.006000 (+99.11%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.7100 $0.1580▼ −77.75%▼ −76.69%$0.006000 (−99.15%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.6307 $0.2525▼ −59.97%▼ −59.36%$0.006000 (−99.05%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.70 $0.7351▼ −56.76%▼ −56.34%$0.006000 (−99.65%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (13h)

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Report published Aug 5, 2026