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Insider Cluster (6 insiders) ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

SCTX

Scribe Therapeutics, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Insider cluster: 6 insiders, $36.2M total
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

This is a textbook cluster-buy signal: multiple directors and 10% owners deploying ~12% of market cap in open-market purchases, with C-suite confirmation. The simultaneous derivative conversions suggest a financing or restructuring event may be imminent. Key catalyst to watch: any 8-K filing regarding a material agreement, offering, or earnings release — the cross-filing actuarial verdicts show these combos are amplifiers.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SCTX ▼ -24.49% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -24.49% · α vs SPY -26.95% · entry $20.40 → $15.41
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.51%
call -4.51% · α -5.22%
$19.48
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+24.56%
call +24.56% · α +20.94%
$25.41
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+41.37%
call +41.37% · α +37.41%
$28.84
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-24.49%
call -24.49% · α -26.95%
$15.41
settled 4d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

A massive insider buying cluster at Scribe Therapeutics: six insiders (including directors OrbiMed, Carl Gordon, and Behzad Aghazadeh, plus 10% owner AH Bio Fund II) purchased a combined ~$36.2M in open-market shares over a 7-day window, with the bulk at $15/share. This represents ~12.4% of the company's $292M market cap — an extraordinarily high proportional signal. The cluster is amplified by the simultaneous conversion of derivative securities (non-cash) by the same insiders, suggesting a coordinated re-investment ahead of a potential catalyst.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$36.2M
Insiders
6

Key Facts

  • Total open-market purchases: ~$36.18M across 6 insiders in 7 days
  • Largest buyers: OrbiMed Advisors ($15M), Carl Gordon ($15M), Behzad Aghazadeh ($36.1M combined across two trades)
  • Purchases represent ~12.4% of SCTX's $292M market cap — far above the 2% materiality threshold
  • Simultaneous conversion of derivative securities (non-cash) by multiple insiders on 2026-07-27
  • AH Bio Fund II (10% owner) converted 19M+ shares from derivatives and bought $5M open-market
  • C-suite participation: CFO David Parrot ($20K) and CBO Svetlana Lucas ($45K) — smaller but confirmatory
  • Stock price: $15.00 for the bulk of purchases (vs. recent insider activity at $18.25)

Financial Impact

$36.18M in open-market insider purchases, representing ~12.4% of market cap — the strongest insider buy signal possible per academic literature

insider ownershipmarket capdilution risk

Risk Factors

  • Insider purchases at $15 may reflect a negotiated floor price in a concurrent financing — not purely voluntary conviction
  • Derivative conversions create dilution overhang (19M+ shares from AH Bio alone) that could cap upside
  • Biotech sector risk: pre-revenue clinical-stage companies have binary outcomes regardless of insider signals
  • Stock is thinly traded — large insider blocks may take weeks to absorb without price impact

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-SCTX-1785382142969
9 reports for SCTX
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +72.66%Jul 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SCTX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$30.81 $16.79▼ −45.50%▼ −44.32%$15.83 (−48.62%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$30.81 $16.79▼ −45.50%▼ −44.32%$15.83 (−48.62%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$20.40 $28.84▲ +41.37%▲ +37.41%$15.83 (−22.40%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$20.40 $28.84▲ +41.37%▲ +37.41%$15.83 (−22.40%)
Jul 28, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$18.36 $31.70▲ +72.66%▲ +67.64%$15.83 (−13.78%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
424B4
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$18.97 $37.25▲ +96.36%▲ +93.06%$15.83 (−16.55%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$21.65 $34.13▲ +57.64%▲ +54.02%$15.83 (−26.88%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
3 / PRESS-RELEASE
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.65 $34.13▲ +57.64%▲ +54.02%$15.83 (−26.88%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
S-1/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+20——
Showing 9 of 9

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Report published Jul 29, 2026