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8-K ·Filed May 5, 2026

SAJ

SARATOGA INVESTMENT CORP.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago SEC0001213900-26-052225
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The deterioration in NII and NAV per share signals ongoing pressure on earnings power despite AUM growth. Watch Q1 fiscal 2027 results for rate sensitivity and ability to maintain dividend coverage; the 12.6% dividend yield may attract income investors but coverage is thinning.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
SAJ ▼ -0.55% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +0.55% · α vs SPY +2.61% · entry $25.74 → $25.60
Entry = T+0 close
May 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.36%
call +0.36% · α +0.03%
$25.65
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+0.83%
call -0.83% · α +0.30%
$25.96
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-1.33%
call +1.33% · α +4.11%
$25.40
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-0.55%
call +0.55% · α +2.61%
$25.60
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Saratoga Investment Corp. reported a weak fiscal Q4 2026 with a GAAP net loss of $0.16 per share, NII per share down to $0.48 (vs $0.56 YoY), and NAV per share declining 5.6% year-over-year. Full-year investment income fell 15.5% to $125.7M, driven by lower interest rates and spread compression, though annual ROE improved to 9.1%.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.16
Revenue
$31.1M
-0.5% YoY
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • Q4 GAAP EPS: ($0.16) vs ($0.05) prior year
  • Q4 Adjusted NII per share: $0.53, down from $0.56 prior year
  • Full-year NII per share: $2.32, down 39% from $3.81
  • NAV per share: $24.42, down from $25.86 year-over-year
  • Total investment income Q4: $31.1M, down 0.5% YoY
  • Annual ROE 9.1% vs 7.5% prior year, beat BDC industry average of 4.3%
  • Portfolio marked down $9.6M in Q4, including $3.1M from core non-CLO
  • AUM grew 13.4% to $1.109B, net originations $101.1M in Q4
  • Non-accruals remain low at 0.2% of fair value
  • Dividend maintained at $0.75/share quarterly

Financial Impact

Declining net investment income and NAV per share reflect structural headwinds from falling SOFR rates and spread compression; Q4 GAAP loss driven by $9.6M portfolio markdown.

net investment incomenav per shareepsinvestment income

Risk Factors

  • Continued decline in SOFR rates eroding floating-rate asset yields
  • Spread compression on new originations vs. repaid assets
  • Potential for further portfolio markdowns affecting NAV
  • Excise tax expense weighing on adjusted NII

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Analyst Consensus
33% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-052225
Document: ea0289168-8k_saratoga.htm0001213900-26-052225
Document: 0001213900-26-052225-index-headers.html0001213900-26-052225
Document: 0001213900-26-052225-index.html0001213900-26-052225
Document: 0001213900-26-052225.txt0001213900-26-052225
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001213900-26-052225

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 2h 39m

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Report published May 5, 2026