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8-K ·Filed Jul 22, 2026

SAFX

XCF Global, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001493152-26-034267
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The multiple concurrent financings at deeply discounted terms signal acute near-term cash needs. The bridge loan's mandatory prepayment from first revenue events and the company's acknowledged SEC filing delinquency and Nasdaq listing risk create a high-probability path to default and further dilution. Traders should monitor for the first revenue event in July 2026 and any Nasdaq delisting notices. The $2.50 warrant exercise price is far above the implied ~$0.15/share equity placement price, suggesting the warrants are deep out-of-the-money and likely to be exercised only via cashless exercise, adding further dilution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
SAFX ▼ -59.88% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +59.88% · α vs SPY +64.43% · entry $0.4202 → $0.1686
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.52%
call +1.52% · α +1.62%
$0.4138
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-10.90%
call +10.90% · α +11.38%
$0.3744
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-18.42%
call +18.42% · α +21.73%
$0.3428
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-59.88%
call +59.88% · α +64.43%
$0.1686
settled 11d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

XCF Global (SAFX) entered into a $1M warrant purchase agreement with GL PART SPV II for an initial warrant to purchase 6,891,798 shares at $2.50, plus an option for up to $99M in additional warrants. Simultaneously, the company secured a $750K senior secured bridge loan from Hollywood Horizons with a 25% OID and a $1M equity investment from Lombard Street Partners for 6,666,667 shares at ~$0.15/share. The combined capital raises total $2.75M in gross proceeds but create massive dilution—the initial warrant alone represents ~4.8% of shares outstanding, with the Lombard Street equity adding another ~4.6%, and the bridge loan carries a 5M-share penalty default provision. The filing signals acute cash needs and a complex capital structure that may pressure the stock.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$2.8M
Dilution
9.4%

Key Facts

  • XCF Global sold GL PART SPV II a warrant to purchase 6,891,798 shares at $2.50 for $1M, with an option for up to $99M in additional warrants through Dec 2026.
  • The company issued a $1M face-value senior secured bridge note to Hollywood Horizons for $750K (25% OID), bearing 10% interest, maturing in 60 days, secured by all assets including inventory, accounts, and environmental attributes.
  • Lombard Street Partners purchased 6,666,667 shares of common stock for $1,000,000.05 (~$0.15/share), split into two closings on July 20 and July 24, 2026.
  • The bridge loan includes a 5,000,000-share penalty default provision and mandatory prepayment from first revenue events expected in July 2026.
  • The company must register the Lombard Street shares for resale, with a 1,000,000-share penalty if the registration is not effective within 90 days of filing.
  • The company acknowledges it is delinquent in certain SEC filings and subject to Nasdaq continued-listing notices.
  • The warrant exercise price is $2.50, with a cashless exercise feature capped at $15.00 for determining shares issued.
  • The bridge loan carries a 1.5% monthly registration delay payment (capped at 12% of face) if shares are not free-trading by the effectiveness deadline.

Financial Impact

Total gross proceeds of $2.75M from three separate financings: $1M warrant purchase, $750K bridge loan (net of $250K OID), and $1M equity sale. Dilution from the initial warrant alone is ~4.8% of current shares outstanding; the Lombard Street equity adds another ~4.6%. The bridge loan's 5M-share penalty default provision could add ~3.5% dilution if triggered.

dilutiondebtcashshare count

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution from multiple concurrent financings (warrants, equity, penalty shares)
  • Bridge loan default risk given mandatory prepayment from uncertain revenue events
  • Acknowledged SEC filing delinquency and Nasdaq continued-listing notices
  • Complex capital structure with multiple secured creditors (GNCU, Twain) may create intercreditor conflicts
  • Warrant exercise at $2.50 is far above current market price, making cashless exercise likely and dilutive

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Industrial Organic Chemicals
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-034267
Exhibit: ex10-3.htm0001493152-26-034267
Exhibit: ex4-1.htm0001493152-26-034267
Exhibit: ex10-1.htm0001493152-26-034267
Exhibit: ex10-4.htm0001493152-26-034267
32 reports for SAFX
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 14 of 20 best @ T+20▲ +58.50%Sep 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SAFX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.1550awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (+1.16%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.1479awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (+6.02%)
Oct 23, 2026
2d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.1560awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (+0.51%)
Oct 22, 2026
3d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1598awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (−1.88%)
Oct 16, 2026
9d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.1565awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (+0.19%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3731awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (+57.97%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4253awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (+63.13%)
Sep 22, 2026
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EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4586awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (+65.81%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.4200awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (+62.67%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.4200awaiting T+60—$0.1568 (+62.67%)
Showing 10 of 32

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Report published Jul 22, 2026