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8-K ·Filed Apr 14, 2026

SAFX

XCF Global, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago SEC0001493152-26-016438
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Traders should monitor the progress of shareholder approvals and SEC registration statement effectiveness, as these are critical closing conditions. The transaction creates a vertically integrated energy platform with potential for significant scale. The $1 billion revenue and $100 million EBITDA targets provide key milestones to track. The lock-up agreements and support from major shareholders (EEME) reduce execution risk. The combined entity's ability to compete globally without subsidies could be a significant competitive advantage.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SAFX ▼ -41.51% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -41.51% · α vs SPY -50.03% · entry $0.8940 → $0.5229
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-30.65%
call -30.65% · α -31.42%
$0.6200
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-55.15%
call -55.15% · α -56.54%
$0.4010
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-53.02%
call -53.02% · α -59.32%
$0.4200
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-41.51%
call -41.51% · α -50.03%
$0.5229
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX) is acquiring Southern Energy Renewables and merging with DevvStream Corp. (DEVS) in a three-party deal to create an integrated energy transition platform combining sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), green methanol, carbon credit monetization, and advanced infrastructure. The transaction is structured as a stock-for-stock merger, with DevvStream shareholders receiving 10% and Southern shareholders receiving 23.3% of the combined company, while existing XCF shareholders retain 66.7%. The deal is expected to close following shareholder approvals and SEC registration.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • XCF Global (SAFX) is acquiring Southern Energy Renewables and merging with DevvStream Corp. (DEVS) in a three-party deal
  • The transaction combines sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), green methanol, carbon credit monetization, and advanced infrastructure
  • The deal is structured as a stock-for-stock merger with no cash consideration
  • Post-transaction ownership will be 66.7% for existing XCF shareholders, 23.3% for Southern shareholders, and 10% for DevvStream shareholders
  • The transaction is conditioned on shareholder approvals, SEC registration statement effectiveness, and other customary closing conditions
  • XCF has been investing $10 million into converting its New Rise Reno facility for SAF production
  • Southern is expected to pursue up to $400 million in bond financing to support infrastructure expansion
  • The combined company targets annualized fuel-related revenues exceeding $1 billion and minimum annualized EBITDA of $100 million

Financial Impact

The transaction creates a combined company with significant scale in the alternative energy sector, with XCF investing $10 million in facility conversion and Southern pursuing up to $400 million in bond financing. The combined entity targets $1 billion in annualized fuel-related revenues and $100 million in annualized EBITDA.

revenueebitdadilutioncapital_expendituredebt

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain required shareholder approvals
  • Delays in SEC registration statement effectiveness
  • Inability to secure $400 million in bond financing for Southern
  • Failure to achieve targeted $1 billion in annualized revenue or $100 million in EBITDA
  • Integration challenges between the three companies

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Industrial Organic Chemicals

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-016438
Exhibit: ex10-1.htm0001493152-26-016438
Exhibit: ex10-2.htm0001493152-26-016438
Exhibit: ex10-3.htm0001493152-26-016438
Exhibit: ex99-1.htm0001493152-26-016438
Document: form8-k.htm0001493152-26-016438
34 reports for SAFX
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 15 of 20 best @ T+60▲ +59.88%Jul 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SAFX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1551awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (+6.06%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1567awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (+7.02%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.1550awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (−6.00%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.1479awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (−1.49%)
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.1560awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (−6.60%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1594awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (−8.59%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.1565awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (−6.90%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3731awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (+60.95%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4253awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (+65.74%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4586awaiting T+60—$0.1457 (+68.23%)
Showing 10 of 34

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Report published Apr 14, 2026