SecBot SecBot
425 ·Filed May 5, 2026

SAFX

XCF Global, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago SEC0001493152-26-021220
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The filing provides forward-looking targets but no current financial results. The stock has been highly volatile (historical reports show large negative moves). Monitor for the Q1 2026 10-Q filing (targeted by mid-May 2026) and progress on the business combination closing conditions for a clearer read on fundamentals.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SAFX ▼ -19.83% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -19.83% · α vs SPY -22.57% · entry $0.4670 → $0.3744
Entry = T+0 close
May 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.64%
call -3.64% · α -5.02%
$0.4500
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-13.06%
call -13.06% · α -15.05%
$0.4060
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+17.34%
call +17.34% · α +12.39%
$0.5480
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-19.83%
call -19.83% · α -22.57%
$0.3744
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

XCF Global filed a Rule 425 communication (structured as an 8-K) updating its investor presentation and providing a Q1 2026 operational update. The filing reiterates progress on the pending three-party business combination with Southern Energy Renewables and DevvStream, announces a binding offtake term sheet with BGN INTL, and sets 2027 targets of $110-$120M net revenue and 40-43M gallons of renewable fuel production. The company also disclosed it received $10 million in plant conversion funding. The filing is promotional in nature and contains no new material financial results or changes to deal terms.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • XCF targets 2027 net revenue of $110-$120M and renewable fuel production of 40-43M gallons at New Rise Reno.
  • Signed a binding term sheet with BGN INTL for renewable fuel tolling, offtake, and logistics at New Rise Reno.
  • Received $10 million in plant conversion funding in support of the pending business combination.
  • Business combination with Southern Energy Renewables and DevvStream remains subject to customary closing conditions.
  • New Rise Reno has produced over 2.5 million gallons of renewable fuels since commercial operations began.
  • Targeting June 2026 for operational restart at New Rise Reno after a planned upgrade program.

Financial Impact

2027 net revenue target of $110-$120M; $10M in plant conversion funding received; no current revenue or earnings reported.

revenueproduction volume

Risk Factors

  • No current revenue or earnings reported; company is pre-revenue at scale.
  • Business combination subject to shareholder approvals, SEC registration, and other closing conditions.
  • Operational restart at New Rise Reno targeted for June 2026 but subject to execution risk.
  • Forward-looking targets for 2027 are aspirational and not guaranteed.
  • Historical stock performance shows extreme volatility with negative returns on prior filings.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Industrial Organic Chemicals
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-021220
Document: 0001493152-26-021220-index-headers.html0001493152-26-021220
Document: 0001493152-26-021220-index.html0001493152-26-021220
Document: 0001493152-26-021220.txt0001493152-26-021220
34 reports for SAFX
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 15 of 21 best @ T+60▲ +59.88%Jul 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SAFX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1551awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (+6.00%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1567awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (+6.96%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.1550awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (−5.94%)
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.1479awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (−1.42%)
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.1560awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (−6.54%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1594awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (−8.53%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.1565awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (−6.84%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3731awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (+60.92%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4253awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (+65.72%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4586awaiting T+60—$0.1458 (+68.21%)
Showing 10 of 34

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Report published May 5, 2026