SecBot SecBot
EFFECT ·Filed May 4, 2026

RUBI

Rubico Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001440
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Expect significant price pressure as the offering hits the market. Monitor for pricing announcement and potential down-round pricing. The small float and concentrated ownership could amplify volatility.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
RUBI ▼ -97.55% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +97.55% · α vs SPY +99.40% · entry $88.50 → $2.17
Entry = T+0 close
May 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.50%
call +6.50% · α +7.30%
$82.75
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-35.31%
call +35.31% · α +38.28%
$57.25
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-84.46%
call +84.46% · α +90.25%
$13.75
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-97.55%
call +97.55% · α +99.40%
$2.17
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Rubico Inc.'s registration statement for a public offering of up to 4,700,854 units (common or pre-funded warrants plus Class B warrants) became effective on May 1, 2026. The offering at an assumed price of $1.17 per unit could raise approximately $5.5 million, representing massive dilution relative to the company's $3 million market cap.

Key Facts

  • EFFECT filed for F-1 registration (File No. 333-295199) effective May 1, 2026.
  • Offering consists of up to 4,700,854 units at an assumed price of $1.17 per unit.
  • Each unit includes one common share (or pre-funded warrant) and 1.5 Class B warrants.
  • Market cap is approximately $3 million; offering could add ~$5.5 million in proceeds.
  • Company has multi-class voting control with Series D Preferred Shares holding 98% voting power.

Financial Impact

Up to ~$5.5 million gross proceeds from offering of up to 4,700,854 units at $1.17/unit, highly dilutive relative to current market cap of ~$3 million.

dilutioncash

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution: offering size exceeds current market cap.
  • Low liquidity: micro-cap stock with thin trading volume.
  • Controlling shareholder risk: Series D Preferred holder controls 98% voting power.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Water Transportation

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001440
Document: 9999999995-26-001440-index.html9999999995-26-001440
Document: 9999999995-26-001440.txt9999999995-26-001440
28 reports for RUBI
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 12 of 16 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 16 best @ T+60▲ +95.58%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RUBI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1790awaiting T+5—$0.1550 (−13.41%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.2138 $0.1548▲ +27.60%▲ +27.45%$0.1550 (+27.50%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2138 $0.1548▲ +27.60%▲ +27.45%$0.1550 (+27.50%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.3910 $0.1640▲ +58.06%▲ +58.15%$0.1550 (+60.36%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6162 $0.3162▼ −48.69%▼ −47.71%$0.1550 (−74.85%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6541 $0.3788▼ −42.09%▼ −41.95%$0.1550 (−76.30%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.13 $1.08▼ −4.42%▼ −4.20%$0.1550 (−86.28%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.25 $1.13▼ −9.60%▼ −8.58%$0.1550 (−87.60%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.9533 $0.8000▼ −16.08%▼ −16.93%$0.1550 (−83.74%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.88 $1.78▲ +5.32%▲ +5.12%$0.1550 (+91.76%)
Showing 10 of 28

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 7h 48m

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Report published May 4, 2026